{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd714202-8d88-4ad4-bfab-a34d2b6eba08", "symbol": "SEDM", "name": "iShares MSCI EM IMI Screened UCITS ETF USD (Dist)", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.707, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.473, "architecture_energy": 18.937, "architecture_maturity": 64.381, "architecture_confidence": 82.231, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.39, "rotation_up": 15.99, "upward_expansion": 45.42, "deceleration": 87.95, "rotation_down": 43.64, "downward_expansion": 30.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.6567, 8.800914, 8.82604, 8.657245 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.8035, "trend_reference": 8.446543, "distance_from_trend": 0.042261, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.346889, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.387057, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.017004, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088801, "excess_performance": 0.037566, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042261, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065556, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.387057, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111927, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03017, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088801, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.227266, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 413479, "relative_activity": 1.794804, "balance": 3.227266, "dry_up": 1.173493, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043399, "annualized_volatility": 0.256491, "from_high_reference": -0.068413, "from_low_reference": 0.327144 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.446543, "fair_value_reference": 6.346889, "structural_low": 7.26721, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025619, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.016252, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00725, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.028464, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029154, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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8.549, "volume": 73772, "typical_volume": 551596.5, "trend": 8.37776, "fair_value": 6.300702, "relative_strength": 1.949797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.539719, "energy": 21.663631, "activity_lines": [ 8.7321, 8.900325, 8.808924, 8.620435 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.555, "volume": 329514, "typical_volume": 218883.55, "trend": 8.410177, "fair_value": 6.322506, "relative_strength": 0.604405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.096039, "energy": 20.687759, "activity_lines": [ 8.636267, 8.825373, 8.807796, 8.631869 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.8035, "volume": 413479, "typical_volume": 230375.6, "trend": 8.446543, "fair_value": 6.346889, "relative_strength": 3.017004, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.473329, "energy": 18.93658, "activity_lines": [ 8.6567, 8.800914, 8.82604, 8.657245 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }