{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd73f555-18a7-4910-8593-979f2b6c4e78", "symbol": "PUM", "name": "PUMA SE", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 64.328, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.191, "architecture_energy": 30.563, "architecture_maturity": 81.642, "architecture_confidence": 43.272, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.16, "rotation_up": 36.76, "upward_expansion": 72.35, "deceleration": 72.65, "rotation_down": 26.14, "downward_expansion": 3.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.769334, 27.728546, 27.416095, 26.432602 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.360001, "trend_reference": 25.051167, "distance_from_trend": 0.092165, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.473507, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.182637, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.005642, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.198948, "excess_performance": 0.024702, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092165, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112816, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.182637, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113427, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020056, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005072, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.198948, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.474061, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22919, "relative_activity": 4.474095, "balance": 0.474061, "dry_up": 3.193691, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072312, "annualized_volatility": 0.351776, "from_high_reference": -0.088608, "from_low_reference": 0.777778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.051167, "fair_value_reference": 33.473507, 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"close": 28.18, "volume": 14695, "typical_volume": 3393.1, "trend": 24.3455, "fair_value": 34.274648, "relative_strength": 3.441843, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.565639, "energy": 36.139888, "activity_lines": [ 27.576, 27.671636, 26.62619, 25.595398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.68, "volume": 12113, "typical_volume": 2951.35, "trend": 24.544167, "fair_value": 34.110477, "relative_strength": 7.461178, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.79044, "energy": 41.597961, "activity_lines": [ 27.899333, 27.886363, 26.936, 25.875043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.799999, "volume": 10733, "typical_volume": 3160.75, "trend": 24.751167, "fair_value": 33.90934, "relative_strength": 2.806115, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.931068, "energy": 38.09947, "activity_lines": [ 27.916666, 27.873454, 27.139381, 26.085097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.700001, "volume": 19675, "typical_volume": 4004.75, "trend": 24.9225, "fair_value": 33.696014, "relative_strength": 2.334081, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.547285, "energy": 36.672784, "activity_lines": [ 27.929333, 27.819454, 27.307952, 26.275344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.360001, "volume": 22919, "typical_volume": 5122.6, "trend": 25.051167, "fair_value": 33.473507, "relative_strength": -2.005642, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.191316, "energy": 30.562502, "activity_lines": [ 27.769334, 27.728546, 27.416095, 26.432602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }