{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd7c2f17-cd51-4d73-97d7-30bd32ad6685",
    "symbol": "TAT",
    "name": "Tartana Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.532,
    "architecture_energy": 34.978,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.079,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.76,
        "rotation_up": 23.06,
        "upward_expansion": 5.64,
        "deceleration": 51.89,
        "rotation_down": 51.62,
        "downward_expansion": 76.64
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.02,
        0.020636,
        0.021205,
        0.023312
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.019,
    "trend_reference": 0.027967,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.32062,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.037651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.495371,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -46.420315,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.536585,
    "excess_performance": -0.600291,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.32062,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.230275,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.495371,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035095,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.464203,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023316,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.536585,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.355853,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19460328,
      "relative_activity": 1.84959,
      "balance": 0.355853,
      "dry_up": 3.603162,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.287449,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.158055,
      "from_high_reference": -0.654545,
      "from_low_reference": 0.357143
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.027967,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.037651,
      "structural_low": 0.014,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": -0.031008,
        "positive_rate": 0.309524,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029128,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.206358,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.099993,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127259,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.305556,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.214727,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.232518,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.678571,
        "worst_return": -0.333339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.368607,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.385407,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.142857,
        "worst_return": -0.538464,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.191489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "return": 0.086957,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.108696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9350122.3,
        "trend": 0.0298,
        "fair_value": 0.037997,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 22.634925,
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          0.0226,
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          0.0222,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.017,
        "volume": 8403591,
        "typical_volume": 9737278.6,
        "trend": 0.028867,
        "fair_value": 0.037821,
        "relative_strength": -50.946584,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.402592,
        "energy": 27.631613,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.020933,
          0.021,
          0.021576,
          0.023948
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.019,
        "volume": 19460328,
        "typical_volume": 10521429.15,
        "trend": 0.027967,
        "fair_value": 0.037651,
        "relative_strength": -46.420315,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.531962,
        "energy": 34.977507,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.02,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}