{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd822115-4cf2-4801-bbd1-c9e5afa75381",
    "symbol": "F1MC34",
    "name": "FMC Corporation",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.123,
    "architecture_energy": 72.587,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.225,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.274,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.22,
        "rotation_up": 23.72,
        "upward_expansion": 16.92,
        "deceleration": 39.64,
        "rotation_down": 60.64,
        "downward_expansion": 92.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        30.995453,
        32.935486
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 27.799999,
    "trend_reference": 35.316084,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.212823,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 109.554596,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.746245,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -46.521912,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.2697,
    "excess_performance": -0.212652,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212823,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069123,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.746245,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007114,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.465219,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149312,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2697,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.528733,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 151,
      "relative_activity": 0.008572,
      "balance": 2.528733,
      "dry_up": 0.096305,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.094216,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.56459,
      "from_high_reference": -0.743991,
      "from_low_reference": 0.090196
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 109.554596,
      "structural_low": 25.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": -0.0319,
        "positive_rate": 0.441176,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.558824,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04063,
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        "worst_return": -0.526276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.635179,
        "sufficient": true
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.178538,
        "energy": 19.716494,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 38.969551,
        "volume": 26627,
        "typical_volume": 34464.4,
        "trend": 42.746988,
        "fair_value": 127.293032,
        "relative_strength": -56.07634,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 8.169728,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 32139.65,
        "trend": 41.216749,
        "fair_value": 125.917419,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.566711,
        "energy": 38.007769,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 35.634991,
        "volume": 105309,
        "typical_volume": 36643.4,
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        "fair_value": 124.53766,
        "relative_strength": -55.483604,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 41.229458,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 42629,
        "typical_volume": 38421.45,
        "trend": 38.139948,
        "fair_value": 123.212927,
        "relative_strength": -58.369803,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -68.982202,
        "energy": 63.846764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 34.440521,
        "volume": 23024,
        "typical_volume": 35523.15,
        "trend": 37.938493,
        "fair_value": 121.869771,
        "relative_strength": -53.746774,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 64.613369,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 120.54624,
        "relative_strength": -58.296889,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -76.676957,
        "energy": 72.606704,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 30.369375,
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        "trend": 37.476794,
        "fair_value": 119.232723,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 70.793384,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 63.848214,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 37.127662,
        "fair_value": 116.644512,
        "relative_strength": -53.845021,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.218824,
        "energy": 69.774587,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.751726,
          31.966804,
          34.826219,
          36.024325
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.139999,
        "volume": 39,
        "typical_volume": 28965.0,
        "trend": 36.937356,
        "fair_value": 115.329255,
        "relative_strength": -52.514333,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.152195,
        "energy": 66.77476,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.408744,
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          34.239971,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.15,
        "volume": 5910,
        "typical_volume": 28483.85,
        "trend": 36.65028,
        "fair_value": 114.156656,
        "relative_strength": -54.902037,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.897109,
        "energy": 68.988277,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.68913,
          30.593074,
          33.504175,
          35.006582
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.77,
        "volume": 2826,
        "typical_volume": 25103.1,
        "trend": 36.392473,
        "fair_value": 112.988031,
        "relative_strength": -50.937894,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.067737,
        "energy": 66.458059,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.25181,
          30.09802,
          32.871801,
          34.498177
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.07,
        "volume": 1699,
        "typical_volume": 23542.4,
        "trend": 36.121506,
        "fair_value": 111.825413,
        "relative_strength": -48.432289,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.022848,
        "energy": 69.157521,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.021115,
          29.731654,
          32.308282,
          34.025759
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.15,
        "volume": 2110,
        "typical_volume": 18952.85,
        "trend": 35.727726,
        "fair_value": 110.665224,
        "relative_strength": -51.071553,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.153653,
        "energy": 70.727137,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.318667,
          29.135561,
          31.596822,
          33.446952
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.799999,
        "volume": 151,
        "typical_volume": 17615.95,
        "trend": 35.316084,
        "fair_value": 109.554596,
        "relative_strength": -46.521912,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.12303,
        "energy": 72.587237,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.033333,
          28.751475,
          30.995453,
          32.935486
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}