{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fd8b9509-59c3-4fa8-b3f1-03810d673ea2",
    "symbol": "EZNC",
    "name": "WisdomTree Zinc - EUR Daily Hedged",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.774,
    "architecture_energy": 87.502,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.597,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.962,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.71,
        "rotation_up": 80.84,
        "upward_expansion": 97.46,
        "deceleration": 39.14,
        "rotation_down": 13.09,
        "downward_expansion": 19.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.013067,
        13.823309,
        13.635067,
        13.407299
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.39,
    "trend_reference": 13.142,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094963,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.204775,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284274,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.354825,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.126683,
    "excess_performance": -0.044208,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094963,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049261,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284274,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068443,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003548,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009549,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126683,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.197665,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 401,
      "relative_activity": 0.193397,
      "balance": 3.197665,
      "dry_up": 0.110444,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023403,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.191552,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.387924
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.142,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.204775,
      "structural_low": 11.714,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.002153,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003076,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.112075,
        "worst_return": -0.118636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.006862,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010526,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.107505,
        "worst_return": -0.120146,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.020548,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034625,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.192668,
        "worst_return": -0.125439,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.126353,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011694,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.143905,
        "worst_return": 0.04111,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.24519,
        "energy": 66.994254,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.062933,
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          12.696667,
          12.527156
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 13.204,
        "volume": 124,
        "typical_volume": 3655.4,
        "trend": 12.321594,
        "fair_value": 10.860063,
        "relative_strength": 0.600059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.830299,
        "energy": 71.581782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 3763.5,
        "trend": 12.398328,
        "fair_value": 10.883377,
        "relative_strength": 3.945574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.399041,
        "energy": 75.562671,
        "activity_lines": [
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          12.8516,
          12.671251
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3771.3,
        "trend": 12.464333,
        "fair_value": 10.911307,
        "relative_strength": 2.559053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.460872,
        "energy": 67.810396,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.634,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 3663.05,
        "trend": 12.525,
        "fair_value": 10.941973,
        "relative_strength": 1.890037,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.542141,
        "energy": 64.769113,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.592,
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        "typical_volume": 3579.15,
        "trend": 12.588133,
        "fair_value": 10.96864,
        "relative_strength": 1.707041,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.50739,
        "energy": 61.434025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.41,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3522.0,
        "trend": 12.65,
        "fair_value": 10.991839,
        "relative_strength": -2.848436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.715765,
        "energy": 47.689178,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 3923.2,
        "trend": 12.722067,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 67.235808,
        "energy": 49.183498,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 3888.55,
        "trend": 12.774133,
        "fair_value": 11.044595,
        "relative_strength": -3.189225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.079948,
        "energy": 36.888372,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.487467,
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          13.226076,
          13.047518
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.674,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 3851.45,
        "trend": 12.8334,
        "fair_value": 11.07248,
        "relative_strength": -3.403935,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.198303,
        "energy": 38.992602,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.537067,
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          13.105574
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.584,
        "volume": 397,
        "typical_volume": 3510.25,
        "trend": 12.883067,
        "fair_value": 11.096973,
        "relative_strength": -3.683659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.468623,
        "energy": 37.305968,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.554,
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          13.336819,
          13.154
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.594,
        "volume": 178,
        "typical_volume": 3482.55,
        "trend": 12.941133,
        "fair_value": 11.123755,
        "relative_strength": -2.317581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.243431,
        "energy": 37.626771,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.5748,
          13.561345,
          13.384229,
          13.199867
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.878,
        "volume": 334,
        "typical_volume": 3487.7,
        "trend": 13.0044,
        "fair_value": 11.14921,
        "relative_strength": -0.144051,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.518701,
        "energy": 57.44498,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.678,
          13.618327,
          13.454886,
          13.26031
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.96,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 2418.4,
        "trend": 13.067267,
        "fair_value": 11.175614,
        "relative_strength": -0.337627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.815257,
        "energy": 70.022554,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.795733,
          13.685418,
          13.527705,
          13.321961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.39,
        "volume": 401,
        "typical_volume": 2073.45,
        "trend": 13.142,
        "fair_value": 11.204775,
        "relative_strength": -0.354825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.774071,
        "energy": 87.501511,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.013067,
          13.823309,
          13.635067,
          13.407299
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}