{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fd94753e-5551-4553-bbb7-b806fdf17a47", "symbol": "002907", "name": "Chongqing Pharscin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -26.898, "architecture_energy": 17.955, "architecture_maturity": 83.594, "architecture_confidence": 65.989, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.11, "rotation_up": 24.51, "upward_expansion": 18.84, "deceleration": 54.65, "rotation_down": 40.33, "downward_expansion": 59.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.052667, 13.114727, 13.09064, 13.32627 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.5, "trend_reference": 13.750037, "distance_from_trend": -0.018184, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.588638, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074622, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.333016, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.092132, "excess_performance": -0.099532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018184, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065071, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 11.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.001323, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.015022, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.096451, "worst_return": -0.125632, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.025101, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.015962, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.925957, "worst_return": -0.147309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.050789, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.096061, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.886236, "worst_return": -0.25679, "sufficient": true }, { 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17853085.85, "trend": 13.974704, "fair_value": 14.631383, "relative_strength": -15.160198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.318836, "energy": 20.225441, "activity_lines": [ 13.528667, 13.137157, 13.235561, 13.528492 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.25, "volume": 37699158, "typical_volume": 19205068.25, "trend": 13.876037, "fair_value": 14.613818, "relative_strength": -20.471962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.808923, "energy": 22.477925, "activity_lines": [ 13.124667, 13.015233, 13.123317, 13.417221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.76, "volume": 22620502, "typical_volume": 19991640.95, "trend": 13.793704, "fair_value": 14.599648, "relative_strength": -15.07747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.75007, "energy": 21.980992, "activity_lines": [ 12.960667, 12.999446, 13.06855, 13.345219 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.5, "volume": 23066337, "typical_volume": 20695353.75, "trend": 13.750037, "fair_value": 14.588638, "relative_strength": -13.333016, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.898286, "energy": 17.955011, "activity_lines": [ 13.052667, 13.114727, 13.09064, 13.32627 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }