{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fda2323b-7364-43b8-9541-595512883632", "symbol": "603817", "name": "Fujian Haixia Environmental Protection Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.45, "architecture_energy": 50.187, "architecture_maturity": 86.679, "architecture_confidence": 67.779, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.11, "rotation_up": 27.4, "upward_expansion": 21.0, "deceleration": 66.96, "rotation_down": 44.69, "downward_expansion": 71.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.505359, 5.477421, 5.881017, 6.242987 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.58, "trend_reference": 6.617118, "distance_from_trend": -0.156733, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.918789, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.05724, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.267765, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.200573, "excess_performance": -0.157369, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156733, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09071, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.05724, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31143, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.162678, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179736, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.200573, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.300466, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39475300, "relative_activity": 0.647941, "balance": 0.300466, "dry_up": 0.770616, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071281, "annualized_volatility": 0.419958, "from_high_reference": -0.415707, "from_low_reference": 0.085571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.617118, "fair_value_reference": 5.918789, "structural_low": 5.140153, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.008052, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.006957, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.188312, "worst_return": -0.122625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.029921, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.03304, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.258098, "worst_return": -0.14518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.006304, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015782, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.223688, "worst_return": -0.066093, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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5.505359, 5.477421, 5.881017, 6.242987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }