{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdb29469-6a8d-466a-a682-a26779185dd4", "symbol": "301036", "name": "Sunlour Pigment Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.314, "architecture_energy": 64.447, "architecture_maturity": 78.472, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 21.94, "upward_expansion": 11.99, "deceleration": 58.83, "rotation_down": 61.69, "downward_expansion": 85.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.216666, 20.813091, 22.778514, 24.576226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.59, "trend_reference": 27.25329, "distance_from_trend": -0.207802, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.065588, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281903, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.469118, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.33712, "excess_performance": -0.34452, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207802, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142204, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281903, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244583, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.324691, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00109, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.33712, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.27279, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5983552, "relative_activity": 1.053346, "balance": 0.27279, "dry_up": 1.233316, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091897, "annualized_volatility": 0.406108, "from_high_reference": -0.449235, "from_low_reference": 0.194798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.25329, "fair_value_reference": 30.065588, "structural_low": 18.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.011276, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.023081, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.302496, "worst_return": -0.163502, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.021458, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.094288, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.259988, "worst_return": -0.222039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.12565, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.324436, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.670566, "worst_return": -0.147009, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -85.010395, "energy": 80.071008, "activity_lines": [ 21.019333, 22.196175, 24.306686, 26.165895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.299999, "volume": 8107922, "typical_volume": 5649038.65, "trend": 28.168957, "fair_value": 30.039546, "relative_strength": -42.366039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.044005, "energy": 84.80025, "activity_lines": [ 19.948666, 21.269438, 23.580168, 25.490371 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.09, "volume": 7433351, "typical_volume": 5689078.75, "trend": 27.680291, "fair_value": 30.047258, "relative_strength": -34.818999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.838933, "energy": 73.014127, "activity_lines": [ 19.761333, 20.840366, 23.083365, 24.969148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.59, "volume": 5983552, "typical_volume": 5680517.2, "trend": 27.25329, "fair_value": 30.065588, "relative_strength": -32.469118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.313652, "energy": 64.447498, "activity_lines": [ 20.216666, 20.813091, 22.778514, 24.576226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }