{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdb34df1-12cd-4b59-8de2-d2fec57b388b", "symbol": "5SR", "name": "Zhongmin Baihui Retail Group Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.515, "architecture_energy": 84.442, "architecture_maturity": 22.37, "architecture_confidence": 88.037, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.12, "rotation_up": 8.39, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 76.59, "downward_expansion": 94.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.388, 0.412, 0.424167, 0.439258 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.39, "trend_reference": 0.461333, "distance_from_trend": -0.154624, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.55967, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.30316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.746137, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.242718, "excess_performance": -0.397554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.154624, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036882, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.30316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044171, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297461, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078662, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242718, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.152542, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.152542, "dry_up": 0.229621, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065089, "annualized_volatility": 0.556095, "from_high_reference": -0.275325, "from_low_reference": 3.875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.461333, "fair_value_reference": 0.55967, "structural_low": 0.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.034024, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.269231, "median_excess_return": 0.033063, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.268293, "worst_return": -0.185484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.054546, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.029749, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.300881, "worst_return": -0.223077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027859, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.069695, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.200037, "worst_return": -0.229008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.092733, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.11828, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009709, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": 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50000, "typical_volume": 4155.0, "trend": 0.477333, "fair_value": 0.565815, "relative_strength": -35.016579, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.467961, "energy": 36.829904, "activity_lines": [ 0.446333, 0.443727, 0.447119, 0.460376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.39, "volume": 4000, "typical_volume": 4355.0, "trend": 0.474333, "fair_value": 0.564309, "relative_strength": -29.514355, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.794099, "energy": 48.354328, "activity_lines": [ 0.424, 0.434909, 0.440524, 0.454742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.39, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4355.0, "trend": 0.47, "fair_value": 0.562803, "relative_strength": -29.686926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.294929, "energy": 74.548683, "activity_lines": [ 0.403333, 0.426727, 0.4345, 0.449301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.39, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4355.0, "trend": 0.465667, "fair_value": 0.561236, "relative_strength": -29.526485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.436696, "energy": 82.153015, "activity_lines": [ 0.391333, 0.419182, 0.429048, 0.44414 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.39, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4355.0, "trend": 0.461333, "fair_value": 0.55967, "relative_strength": -29.746137, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.515392, "energy": 84.442432, "activity_lines": [ 0.388, 0.412, 0.424167, 0.439258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }