{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdb922b6-605d-4a6b-a46b-b26d6ad7e32d", "symbol": "4503", "name": "Gold Rain Enterprises Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.6, "architecture_energy": 85.51, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.511, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.85, "rotation_up": 10.92, "upward_expansion": 20.97, "deceleration": 34.17, "rotation_down": 82.64, "downward_expansion": 94.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.516667, 34.343637, 37.265477, 38.151506 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.15, "trend_reference": 38.968334, "distance_from_trend": -0.328942, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.81868, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.485425, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.646877, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.311842, "excess_performance": -0.753214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.328942, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064049, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.485425, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.300624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.586469, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186691, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.311842, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.46243, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4846414, "relative_activity": 3.203873, "balance": 0.46243, "dry_up": 1.285732, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183703, "annualized_volatility": 0.553186, "from_high_reference": -0.58093, "from_low_reference": 0.112766 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.968334, "fair_value_reference": 50.81868, "structural_low": 23.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.044525, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.02329, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.518219, "worst_return": -0.099303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.058405, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.042749, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.852761, "worst_return": -0.148889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.210531, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.058968, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.984663, "worst_return": -0.221557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"trend": 40.268334, "fair_value": 51.817718, "relative_strength": -43.527343, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.579375, "energy": 7.892536, "activity_lines": [ 40.17, 39.921818, 40.615715, 40.372904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.450001, "volume": 839538, "typical_volume": 1315373.65, "trend": 40.108334, "fair_value": 51.598808, "relative_strength": -43.186228, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.702477, "energy": 10.675023, "activity_lines": [ 38.96, 39.231819, 40.244286, 40.12656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.5, "volume": 930599, "typical_volume": 1303153.4, "trend": 39.825001, "fair_value": 51.339193, "relative_strength": -47.845699, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.716133, "energy": 61.455531, "activity_lines": [ 36.563333, 37.95, 39.499286, 39.6357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.15, "volume": 1163017, "typical_volume": 1319068.85, "trend": 39.480001, "fair_value": 51.050411, "relative_strength": -51.811146, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.969359, "energy": 76.198883, "activity_lines": [ 33.68, 36.435455, 38.558572, 39.011506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.15, "volume": 4846414, "typical_volume": 1512673.45, "trend": 38.968334, "fair_value": 50.81868, "relative_strength": -58.646877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.599984, "energy": 85.510398, "activity_lines": [ 30.516667, 34.343637, 37.265477, 38.151506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }