{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fdc16bea-f28a-4e3f-93db-04c93a8bf04c",
    "symbol": "TUGN",
    "name": "STF TACTICAL GROWTH & INCOME ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.419,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.538,
    "architecture_energy": 27.308,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.303,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.697,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.1,
        "rotation_up": 32.13,
        "upward_expansion": 58.12,
        "deceleration": 87.92,
        "rotation_down": 27.05,
        "downward_expansion": 19.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        26.337279
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 27.9056,
    "trend_reference": 25.459534,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096077,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.72214,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346656,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.283589,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.17455,
    "excess_performance": -0.012904,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096077,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043134,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.346656,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021501,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012836,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023999,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17455,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.864132,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 106469,
      "relative_activity": 0.767148,
      "balance": 0.864132,
      "dry_up": 0.890085,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040421,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.190378,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030806,
      "from_low_reference": 0.286677
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.459534,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.72214,
      "structural_low": 21.688118,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.003644,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000932,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.085365,
        "worst_return": -0.021554,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.03955,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012043,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.124075,
        "worst_return": -0.044974,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.135839,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010814,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.108755,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007726,
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        "worst_return": 0.275007,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.213869,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 26.910078,
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        "typical_volume": 136472.1,
        "trend": 24.193699,
        "fair_value": 19.83306,
        "relative_strength": -3.704294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 92.237224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 131335.35,
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        "energy": 93.052618,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.257919,
        "volume": 85151,
        "typical_volume": 130119.75,
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        "energy": 94.433001,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 27.099582,
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        "typical_volume": 128837.45,
        "trend": 24.503872,
        "fair_value": 20.067002,
        "relative_strength": -2.255823,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 27.581571,
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        "typical_volume": 130095.65,
        "trend": 24.620158,
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        "relative_strength": -2.67807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 63.972555,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 27.085763,
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        "typical_volume": 130058.35,
        "trend": 24.870611,
        "fair_value": 20.292459,
        "relative_strength": -2.342026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.175948,
        "energy": 53.053659,
        "activity_lines": [
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          25.52328
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 130468,
        "typical_volume": 133455.4,
        "trend": 24.967472,
        "fair_value": 20.365908,
        "relative_strength": -2.156601,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.715075,
        "energy": 45.692091,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.430765,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.829968,
        "volume": 133825,
        "typical_volume": 137937.05,
        "trend": 25.09217,
        "fair_value": 20.440601,
        "relative_strength": -2.116521,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.25718,
        "energy": 50.305341,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.563823,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 26.966595,
        "volume": 140981,
        "typical_volume": 142655.5,
        "trend": 25.185577,
        "fair_value": 20.510188,
        "relative_strength": -0.97416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.711888,
        "energy": 36.421624,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.360397,
          27.448985,
          26.754748,
          25.988671
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.5338,
        "volume": 149759,
        "typical_volume": 147607.5,
        "trend": 25.253884,
        "fair_value": 20.576672,
        "relative_strength": -0.924001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.629444,
        "energy": 29.010746,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.053704,
          27.280691,
          26.827109,
          26.075653
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.7459,
        "volume": 96915,
        "typical_volume": 149688.25,
        "trend": 25.342422,
        "fair_value": 20.64529,
        "relative_strength": -0.629127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.455187,
        "energy": 22.157731,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.918112,
          27.157802,
          26.904472,
          26.171912
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.9056,
        "volume": 106469,
        "typical_volume": 138785.55,
        "trend": 25.459534,
        "fair_value": 20.72214,
        "relative_strength": -1.283589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.538483,
        "energy": 27.308484,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.191744,
          27.259035,
          27.074706,
          26.337279
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}