{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fdc28bda-a282-42e2-b992-665453f3a5bb",
    "symbol": "AVNT",
    "name": "Avient Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.277,
    "architecture_energy": 65.524,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.986,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.515,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.25,
        "rotation_up": 67.71,
        "upward_expansion": 83.43,
        "deceleration": 48.86,
        "rotation_down": 16.13,
        "downward_expansion": 17.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.766667,
        38.5343,
        37.362081,
        37.053128
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 45.69,
    "trend_reference": 36.926297,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.23733,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.083217,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.232094,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.969522,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.196979,
    "excess_performance": 0.071354,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23733,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070843,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.232094,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243462,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169695,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212485,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196979,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.751977,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5922335,
      "relative_activity": 1.538263,
      "balance": 1.751977,
      "dry_up": 1.027644,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072775,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.510632,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018053,
      "from_low_reference": 0.703312
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.926297,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.083217,
      "structural_low": 31.321286,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.009355,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00095,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
        "best_return": 0.208085,
        "worst_return": -0.244364,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.002984,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.109446,
        "worst_return": -0.187532,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.079112,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122699,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.199391,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.070123,
        "worst_return": -0.421544,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 37.005087,
        "relative_strength": -9.97124,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.486269,
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        "typical_volume": 3781633.35,
        "trend": 34.936644,
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        "relative_strength": -0.20439,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 3837932.15,
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        "fair_value": 37.023447,
        "relative_strength": 2.623634,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.403993,
        "energy": 26.894446,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.013331,
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          36.170133
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.31,
        "volume": 3440872,
        "typical_volume": 3734464.5,
        "trend": 35.752356,
        "fair_value": 37.025135,
        "relative_strength": -0.997568,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.193182,
        "energy": 31.143694,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.03,
        "volume": 5780049,
        "typical_volume": 3864061.0,
        "trend": 35.937036,
        "fair_value": 37.018027,
        "relative_strength": -5.465902,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.825377,
        "energy": 29.656193,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.061751,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.97,
        "volume": 3594900,
        "typical_volume": 3856072.7,
        "trend": 36.148781,
        "fair_value": 37.013462,
        "relative_strength": -1.440661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.911388,
        "energy": 25.610961,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.958667,
          36.602266,
          36.254864,
          36.370993
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.6,
        "volume": 2892533,
        "typical_volume": 3824542.0,
        "trend": 36.359204,
        "fair_value": 37.017658,
        "relative_strength": 0.882171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.86745,
        "energy": 20.342968,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.1,
          36.896631,
          36.416782,
          36.46462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.32,
        "volume": 3416014,
        "typical_volume": 3830527.2,
        "trend": 36.528931,
        "fair_value": 37.019196,
        "relative_strength": -3.438564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.725676,
        "energy": 4.463372,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.818667,
          36.884181,
          36.449338,
          36.462091
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.69,
        "volume": 5922335,
        "typical_volume": 3850015.05,
        "trend": 36.926297,
        "fair_value": 37.083217,
        "relative_strength": 16.969522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.276946,
        "energy": 65.524162,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.766667,
          38.5343,
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          37.053128
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}