{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdc2abb7-2610-4f12-a91f-f5cf717476c6", "symbol": "RELY", "name": "Remitly Global Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.15, "architecture_energy": 47.916, "architecture_maturity": 45.818, "architecture_confidence": 79.803, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.04, "rotation_up": 55.71, "upward_expansion": 79.49, "deceleration": 65.51, "rotation_down": 22.35, "downward_expansion": 6.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.52, 23.079273, 22.187714, 20.926194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.42, "trend_reference": 19.036, "distance_from_trend": 0.282833, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.673782, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307716, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.549155, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.877018, "excess_performance": 0.689564, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.282833, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181296, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307716, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005426, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.225492, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050803, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.877018, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.269985, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21312278, "relative_activity": 1.077026, "balance": 1.269985, "dry_up": 0.78057, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09404, "annualized_volatility": 0.595582, "from_high_reference": -0.100552, "from_low_reference": 1.021523 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.036, "fair_value_reference": 18.673782, "structural_low": 12.535, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.022304, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.023008, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.255364, "worst_return": -0.187643, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.158111, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.045957, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.381874, "worst_return": -0.229976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.160387, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.106952, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.487906, "worst_return": -0.177637, "sufficient": false }, { 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"2026-07-17", "close": 24.13, "volume": 17274169, "typical_volume": 20131982.95, "trend": 18.085, "fair_value": 18.6425, "relative_strength": 26.616115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.963127, "energy": 76.762631, "activity_lines": [ 23.521333, 22.267455, 21.358667, 19.984688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.53, "volume": 10951752, "typical_volume": 19827001.55, "trend": 18.361667, "fair_value": 18.666667, "relative_strength": 19.899725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.428029, "energy": 66.64644, "activity_lines": [ 23.356667, 22.415455, 21.596762, 20.271462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.77, "volume": 12245742, "typical_volume": 19464974.75, "trend": 18.68, "fair_value": 18.669744, "relative_strength": 20.137526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.768242, "energy": 47.577746, "activity_lines": [ 23.176667, 22.608182, 21.831571, 20.555871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.42, "volume": 21312278, "typical_volume": 19788087.15, "trend": 19.036, "fair_value": 18.673782, "relative_strength": 22.549155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.149788, "energy": 47.915733, "activity_lines": [ 23.52, 23.079273, 22.187714, 20.926194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }