{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdc2e617-b1d3-448c-b297-e1e99dda9ffe", "symbol": "300030", "name": "Improve Medical Instruments Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.379, "architecture_energy": 35.926, "architecture_maturity": 64.28, "architecture_confidence": 66.433, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.68, "rotation_up": 26.15, "upward_expansion": 17.28, "deceleration": 66.43, "rotation_down": 34.44, "downward_expansion": 62.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.344, 6.268909, 6.682952, 7.021032 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.75, "trend_reference": 7.433667, "distance_from_trend": -0.091969, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.621603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019391, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.01317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.174066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.091969, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063062, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.019391, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245725, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150132, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035314, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.530875, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35154907, "relative_activity": 0.9308, "balance": 0.530875, "dry_up": 1.143348, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089687, "annualized_volatility": 0.348688, "from_high_reference": -0.315416, "from_low_reference": 0.196809 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.433667, "fair_value_reference": 6.621603, "structural_low": 5.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.009124, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.046945, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.62716, "worst_return": -0.283713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013946, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.037968, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.669271, "worst_return": -0.154185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.03913, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.062667, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.638021, "worst_return": -0.258687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.8, "volume": 47170998, "typical_volume": 37962947.65, "trend": 7.489, "fair_value": 6.631731, "relative_strength": -25.614442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.532183, "energy": 60.44283, "activity_lines": [ 6.054667, 6.206727, 6.796333, 7.139935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.35, "volume": 38048780, "typical_volume": 38161151.65, "trend": 7.454, "fair_value": 6.625128, "relative_strength": -16.631552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.187625, "energy": 50.629494, "activity_lines": [ 6.149333, 6.188545, 6.715714, 7.066452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.75, "volume": 35154907, "typical_volume": 37768483.25, "trend": 7.433667, "fair_value": 6.621603, "relative_strength": -15.01317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.378619, "energy": 35.926179, "activity_lines": [ 6.344, 6.268909, 6.682952, 7.021032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }