{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdd014ca-4190-4a34-868a-6806831b7484", "symbol": "MLM", "name": "Martin Marietta Materials Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.089, "architecture_energy": 61.85, "architecture_maturity": 11.202, "architecture_confidence": 89.17, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.92, "rotation_up": 10.39, "upward_expansion": 13.43, "deceleration": 37.91, "rotation_down": 67.25, "downward_expansion": 86.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 548.340667, 565.68, 574.940904, 584.797453 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 548.57, "trend_reference": 602.837471, "distance_from_trend": -0.09002, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 552.084941, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006367, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.096108, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.202822, "excess_performance": -0.328447, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09002, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026622, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.006367, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097335, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.200961, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064378, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.202822, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.563327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2968166, "relative_activity": 1.117256, "balance": 0.563327, "dry_up": 1.123827, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073572, "annualized_volatility": 0.293726, "from_high_reference": -0.226335, "from_low_reference": 0.047929 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 602.837471, "fair_value_reference": 552.084941, 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"activity_lines": [ 595.335333, 588.053413, 589.975724, 600.90167 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 562.59, "volume": 1971928, "typical_volume": 2656049.05, "trend": 613.0896, "fair_value": 550.184453, "relative_strength": -15.94001, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.227505, "energy": 24.387728, "activity_lines": [ 584.222, 584.536158, 586.926495, 597.493866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 559.6, "volume": 2710088, "typical_volume": 2634993.15, "trend": 610.300558, "fair_value": 550.944197, "relative_strength": -15.591954, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.376731, "energy": 38.508004, "activity_lines": [ 573.094667, 580.964957, 584.126581, 594.042924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 525.14, "volume": 4292307, "typical_volume": 2678668.1, "trend": 606.714233, "fair_value": 551.438181, "relative_strength": -21.257586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.912319, "energy": 64.803282, "activity_lines": [ 553.782, 571.096467, 578.280498, 588.548694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 548.57, "volume": 2968166, "typical_volume": 2656655.95, "trend": 602.837471, "fair_value": 552.084941, "relative_strength": -20.096108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.088729, "energy": 61.849722, "activity_lines": [ 548.340667, 565.68, 574.940904, 584.797453 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }