{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fddb77eb-3fb3-4a96-9438-04f46f34dda4", "symbol": "688686", "name": "OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.807, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.031, "architecture_energy": 29.949, "architecture_maturity": 59.572, "architecture_confidence": 63.399, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.78, "rotation_up": 16.76, "upward_expansion": 17.98, "deceleration": 69.98, "rotation_down": 62.37, "downward_expansion": 40.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.634, 128.880181, 130.619158, 125.367989 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 120.0, "trend_reference": 121.407301, "distance_from_trend": -0.011592, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 96.362988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245291, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.183707, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002911, "excess_performance": 0.046115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011592, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047986, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.245291, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071258, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045287, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002911, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.803451, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8128790, "relative_activity": 0.944944, "balance": 0.803451, "dry_up": 1.098066, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186913, "annualized_volatility": 0.775975, "from_high_reference": -0.316161, "from_low_reference": 0.403538 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 121.407301, "fair_value_reference": 96.362988, "structural_low": 85.498194, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.030973, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.033681, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.12665, "worst_return": -0.179534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.017632, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.03465, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.160391, "worst_return": -0.13858, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.067764, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.01709, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.829876, "worst_return": 0.017389, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }