{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fde2caa1-8747-4831-9743-eb18820d266d",
    "symbol": "XEUM",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Europe Screened UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.337,
    "architecture_energy": 65.722,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.418,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.534,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 60.43,
        "upward_expansion": 83.79,
        "deceleration": 58.01,
        "rotation_down": 25.41,
        "downward_expansion": 10.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        17403.08172
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 18261.0,
    "trend_reference": 17178.066667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063042,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14612.559357,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249678,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.946534,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.076139,
    "excess_performance": 0.024904,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063042,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032063,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.249678,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054176,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009465,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011412,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076139,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 9.222222,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 601,
      "relative_activity": 2.567279,
      "balance": 9.222222,
      "dry_up": 0.774242,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014992,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.155135,
      "from_high_reference": -0.140912,
      "from_low_reference": 0.215374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17178.066667,
      "fair_value_reference": 14612.559357,
      "structural_low": 15432.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.001186,
        "positive_rate": 0.484848,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.484848,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000764,
        "regime_survival": 0.757576,
        "best_return": 0.054246,
        "worst_return": -0.103362,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.00919,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002073,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.081749,
        "worst_return": -0.062136,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.034602,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012852,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.116238,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.093307,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3,
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        "fair_value": 14504.649101,
        "relative_strength": -0.079655,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 57.011808,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17739.0,
        "volume": 31,
        "typical_volume": 280.15,
        "trend": 17080.233333,
        "fair_value": 14538.174742,
        "relative_strength": -0.385899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17899.0,
        "volume": 90,
        "typical_volume": 266.55,
        "trend": 17127.9,
        "fair_value": 14574.206793,
        "relative_strength": -0.732318,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.708029,
        "energy": 50.724111,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18261.0,
        "volume": 601,
        "typical_volume": 234.1,
        "trend": 17178.066667,
        "fair_value": 14612.559357,
        "relative_strength": 0.946534,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.336506,
        "energy": 65.721765,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}