{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fdf10987-a23d-45b5-99d1-3a40b3a79bd2",
    "symbol": "AMER3",
    "name": "Americanas S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -45.734,
    "architecture_energy": 34.457,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.714,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.613,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.91,
        "rotation_up": 26.4,
        "upward_expansion": 17.12,
        "deceleration": 43.8,
        "rotation_down": 35.85,
        "downward_expansion": 64.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.231333,
        4.166182,
        4.540143,
        4.787849
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.15,
    "trend_reference": 5.037,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.176097,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 27.156026,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.847179,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.679261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.214015,
    "excess_performance": -0.156967,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.176097,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078485,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.847179,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002126,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.256793,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.082406,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214015,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.834811,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6472500,
      "relative_activity": 0.648593,
      "balance": 0.834811,
      "dry_up": 0.751421,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.123448,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.592331,
      "from_high_reference": -0.529478,
      "from_low_reference": 0.192529
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.037,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.156026,
      "structural_low": 3.48,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": -0.03187,
        "positive_rate": 0.395833,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.604167,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046682,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 1.253886,
        "worst_return": -0.922658,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.075385,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.176666,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
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        "worst_return": -0.90411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.111111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.914286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.934783,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9986940.0,
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        "relative_strength": -30.748942,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -64.858379,
        "energy": 79.414959,
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          3.970667,
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          4.745524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.02,
        "volume": 4675300,
        "typical_volume": 9819245.0,
        "trend": 5.076667,
        "fair_value": 28.490705,
        "relative_strength": -29.879047,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -63.474376,
        "energy": 78.802822,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.64,
        "volume": 7822000,
        "typical_volume": 9859320.0,
        "trend": 5.064,
        "fair_value": 27.80891,
        "relative_strength": -20.266903,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.410705,
        "energy": 39.540589,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.204,
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          4.617667,
          4.846817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.15,
        "volume": 6472500,
        "typical_volume": 9979295.0,
        "trend": 5.037,
        "fair_value": 27.156026,
        "relative_strength": -25.679261,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.734075,
        "energy": 34.457047,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}