{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdf1677c-fc72-4899-9040-22bbdd1a953b", "symbol": "688059", "name": "Zhuzhou Huarui Precision Cutting Tools Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 84.826, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.047, "architecture_energy": 35.957, "architecture_maturity": 56.631, "architecture_confidence": 46.742, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.4, "rotation_up": 16.71, "upward_expansion": 19.32, "deceleration": 69.73, "rotation_down": 65.27, "downward_expansion": 41.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.451641, 102.172203, 106.219164, 101.710629 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 95.040001, "trend_reference": 93.710291, "distance_from_trend": 0.01419, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.610112, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.039043, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.162125, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.358935, "excess_performance": 0.402139, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01419, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247776, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.039043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.489744, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.251621, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.399971, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.358935, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.766928, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42442108, "relative_activity": 1.488365, "balance": 0.766928, "dry_up": 1.38169, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.238935, "annualized_volatility": 0.880364, "from_high_reference": -0.418956, "from_low_reference": 1.502342 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.710291, "fair_value_reference": 46.610112, "structural_low": 61.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.120937, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.085427, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.262162, "worst_return": -0.277927, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.37463, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.33038, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.457298, "worst_return": -0.297749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.323359, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.411987, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.935172, "worst_return": -0.01931, "sufficient": false }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 76.089996, "volume": 50772053, "typical_volume": 27119031.65, "trend": 91.850011, "fair_value": 46.109635, "relative_strength": 5.694895, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.113368, "energy": 18.193231, "activity_lines": [ 100.4263, 113.553215, 109.815185, 102.799759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.32, "volume": 29950253, "typical_volume": 27283478.4, "trend": 92.391499, "fair_value": 46.277479, "relative_strength": -0.766846, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.377481, "energy": 41.247064, "activity_lines": [ 86.782158, 105.451771, 106.909482, 101.539758 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 95.040001, "volume": 42442108, "typical_volume": 28515919.8, "trend": 93.710291, "fair_value": 46.610112, "relative_strength": 25.162125, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.047438, "energy": 35.956863, "activity_lines": [ 85.451641, 102.172203, 106.219164, 101.710629 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }