{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdf78ad7-8d49-4c6c-907f-c3ee0f198e06", "symbol": "BPE", "name": "BPER Banca SpA", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.198, "architecture_energy": 72.152, "architecture_maturity": 67.592, "architecture_confidence": 79.647, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 69.13, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 64.19, "rotation_down": 22.48, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.158533, 13.925964, 13.181248, 12.640127 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.672, "trend_reference": 12.077726, "distance_from_trend": 0.214798, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.691992, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.192471, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.861642, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.209271, "excess_performance": 0.035024, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.214798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097066, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.192471, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120397, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098616, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025776, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.209271, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.324703, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.324703, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038703, "annualized_volatility": 0.364949, "from_high_reference": -0.022909, "from_low_reference": 0.792371 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.077726, "fair_value_reference": 6.691992, "structural_low": 9.68916, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 6024.85, "trend": 11.779526, "fair_value": 6.46575, "relative_strength": 8.039232, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.962171, "energy": 87.17227, "activity_lines": [ 13.7672, 13.3144, 12.591705, 12.191256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.87, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5128.85, "trend": 11.878317, "fair_value": 6.538169, "relative_strength": 7.932427, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.599774, "energy": 83.640015, "activity_lines": [ 13.806533, 13.499891, 12.774215, 12.326125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.044, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3638.8, "trend": 11.970658, "fair_value": 6.611578, "relative_strength": 8.825084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.582609, "energy": 67.969199, "activity_lines": [ 13.899733, 13.678909, 12.956298, 12.465846 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.672, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3439.45, "trend": 12.077726, "fair_value": 6.691992, "relative_strength": 9.861642, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.198406, "energy": 72.151598, "activity_lines": [ 14.158533, 13.925964, 13.181248, 12.640127 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }