{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fdfd3687-0d1d-44a4-b534-4df36419b7f9", "symbol": "YMAX", "name": "TIDAL TRUST II YIELDMAX UNIVERSE FUND OF OPTION INC ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 51.505, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.387, "architecture_energy": 14.263, "architecture_maturity": 18.364, "architecture_confidence": 47.777, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.27, "rotation_up": 20.31, "upward_expansion": 16.92, "deceleration": 57.09, "rotation_down": 47.96, "downward_expansion": 39.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.446895, 7.486456, 7.593911, 7.52427 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.7, "trend_reference": 7.478959, "distance_from_trend": 0.029555, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.30483, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.054097, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.143455, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.068773, "excess_performance": -0.056852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029555, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.054097, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.121435, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022122, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.068773, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.991017, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6074803, "relative_activity": 0.753147, "balance": 0.991017, "dry_up": 0.873687, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055074, "annualized_volatility": 0.277629, "from_high_reference": -0.134118, "from_low_reference": 0.181501 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.478959, "fair_value_reference": 7.30483, "structural_low": 6.517131, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.05851, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.053889, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.004117, "worst_return": -0.109797, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.175212, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.096315, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.175212, "worst_return": -0.175212, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.065718, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.127376, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.065718, "worst_return": -0.065718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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13.768912, "activity_lines": [ 7.521597, 7.623004, 7.620427, 7.544819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.206899, "volume": 5646677, "typical_volume": 8375230.55, "trend": 7.510866, "fair_value": 7.301772, "relative_strength": -14.881379, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.128347, "energy": 21.444621, "activity_lines": [ 7.400316, 7.529242, 7.592962, 7.523487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.313417, "volume": 7518777, "typical_volume": 8278514.4, "trend": 7.490412, "fair_value": 7.301859, "relative_strength": -14.069613, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.260033, "energy": 27.974516, "activity_lines": [ 7.353581, 7.46694, 7.5754, 7.510748 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.7, "volume": 6074803, "typical_volume": 8065891.8, "trend": 7.478959, "fair_value": 7.30483, "relative_strength": -12.143455, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.386888, "energy": 14.263256, "activity_lines": [ 7.446895, 7.486456, 7.593911, 7.52427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }