{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe05f8ea-c2dc-4bbf-8947-973e48f12854", "symbol": "000701", "name": "Xiamen Xindeco Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.597, "architecture_energy": 39.515, "architecture_maturity": 81.877, "architecture_confidence": 65.403, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.64, "rotation_up": 24.37, "upward_expansion": 16.82, "deceleration": 66.78, "rotation_down": 47.5, "downward_expansion": 69.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.744667, 4.732, 5.069952, 5.315398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.94, "trend_reference": 5.657333, "distance_from_trend": -0.126797, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.387051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082986, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.543802, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.207063, "excess_performance": -0.214462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.126797, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100821, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082986, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.201338, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002375, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.207063, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.355563, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54926020, "relative_activity": 0.895214, "balance": 0.355563, "dry_up": 1.460937, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101993, "annualized_volatility": 0.311874, "from_high_reference": -0.428902, "from_low_reference": 0.173397 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.657333, "fair_value_reference": 5.387051, "structural_low": 4.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.031469, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": 0.010857, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.695652, "worst_return": -0.277985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.241758, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.065295, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.485623, "worst_return": -0.477462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.133268, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.064957, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.448421, "worst_return": -0.223706, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 158783783, "typical_volume": 62262145.75, "trend": 5.861667, "fair_value": 5.420833, "relative_strength": -24.192895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.668559, "energy": 78.53309, "activity_lines": [ 4.640667, 4.888364, 5.275571, 5.520452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.41, "volume": 82125975, "typical_volume": 61897188.6, "trend": 5.785, "fair_value": 5.406987, "relative_strength": -27.074093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.68349, "energy": 61.66094, "activity_lines": [ 4.552, 4.754, 5.168857, 5.426796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.83, "volume": 62708403, "typical_volume": 61617830.2, "trend": 5.711667, "fair_value": 5.396603, "relative_strength": -17.873278, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.008932, "energy": 51.233731, "activity_lines": [ 4.640667, 4.723273, 5.111333, 5.365183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.94, "volume": 54926020, "typical_volume": 61355169.2, "trend": 5.657333, "fair_value": 5.387051, "relative_strength": -19.543802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.596778, "energy": 39.515035, "activity_lines": [ 4.744667, 4.732, 5.069952, 5.315398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }