{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe0be674-d725-4c31-9f33-5731eeaffa0d", "symbol": "002371", "name": "NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.291, "architecture_energy": 27.805, "architecture_maturity": 71.006, "architecture_confidence": 80.81, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.13, "rotation_up": 37.34, "upward_expansion": 68.06, "deceleration": 82.66, "rotation_down": 26.76, "downward_expansion": 15.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 728.929997, 740.574239, 688.937014, 637.288803 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 751.98999, "trend_reference": 579.549802, "distance_from_trend": 0.297542, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 336.788202, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.232828, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 45.006921, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.582371, "excess_performance": 0.574971, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.297542, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206625, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.232828, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.410624, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.450069, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.370194, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.582371, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.278374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60708660, "relative_activity": 1.194157, "balance": 1.278374, "dry_up": 1.443758, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143452, "annualized_volatility": 0.540908, "from_high_reference": -0.169072, "from_low_reference": 1.310261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 579.549802, "fair_value_reference": 336.788202, "structural_low": 422.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.024956, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.062667, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.25807, "worst_return": -0.129759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.030848, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.017049, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.295315, "worst_return": -0.082976, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.053869, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.080269, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.640232, "worst_return": -0.253571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.419368, "energy": 51.900162, "activity_lines": [ 756.042253, 739.318538, 667.694863, 617.48123 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 687.0, "volume": 73319895, "typical_volume": 49433020.3, "trend": 569.786135, "fair_value": 333.240642, "relative_strength": 41.307301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.976201, "energy": 33.812809, "activity_lines": [ 727.466667, 734.207349, 675.766701, 625.533716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 751.98999, "volume": 60708660, "typical_volume": 50838070.2, "trend": 579.549802, "fair_value": 336.788202, "relative_strength": 45.006921, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.291422, "energy": 27.804638, "activity_lines": [ 728.929997, 740.574239, 688.937014, 637.288803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }