{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe16cd15-ddd5-4093-80ae-c3c8f13ccd6b", "symbol": "WEBELSOLAR", "name": "Websol Energy System Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 60.421, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.792, "architecture_energy": 15.422, "architecture_maturity": 50.361, "architecture_confidence": 89.85, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.54, "rotation_up": 20.86, "upward_expansion": 49.13, "deceleration": 80.11, "rotation_down": 31.16, "downward_expansion": 27.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.509332, 100.658362, 102.488428, 96.778881 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 96.379997, "trend_reference": 89.02, "distance_from_trend": 0.082678, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 89.024647, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.082621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.105939, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.446496, "excess_performance": 0.490205, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082678, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000948, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.082621, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.333497, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031059, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133615, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.446496, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.998259, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7543343, "relative_activity": 0.373858, "balance": 0.998259, "dry_up": 0.381325, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085088, "annualized_volatility": 0.697044, "from_high_reference": -0.387285, "from_low_reference": 0.912301 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 89.02, "fair_value_reference": 89.024647, "structural_low": 50.400002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.011297, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.055681, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.564852, "worst_return": -0.382748, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.194513, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.17984, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.658891, "worst_return": -0.179954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.285604, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.300131, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.425522, "worst_return": -0.121937, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 23.477712, "activity_lines": [ 103.263333, 104.415273, 102.175, 94.964624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 99.769997, "volume": 7661496, "typical_volume": 27060056.7, "trend": 88.304333, "fair_value": 87.923365, "relative_strength": 2.393075, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.888051, "energy": 22.327389, "activity_lines": [ 102.043999, 103.425817, 102.694667, 95.715183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.0, "volume": 6453905, "typical_volume": 25945676.4, "trend": 88.588333, "fair_value": 88.478173, "relative_strength": -2.42145, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.483464, "energy": 16.684218, "activity_lines": [ 100.230666, 101.999454, 102.726428, 96.276193 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.379997, "volume": 7543343, "typical_volume": 20177022.7, "trend": 89.02, "fair_value": 89.024647, "relative_strength": -3.105939, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.791872, "energy": 15.421908, "activity_lines": [ 98.509332, 100.658362, 102.488428, 96.778881 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }