{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe210951-bcc8-45cb-a608-d217a01dd7cf", "symbol": "BANK", "name": "Fiinu Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.388, "architecture_energy": 90.781, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.189, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.52, "rotation_up": 9.02, "upward_expansion": 21.86, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 84.7, "downward_expansion": 99.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.036067, 0.042709, 0.053865, 0.059601 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0325, "trend_reference": 0.067167, "distance_from_trend": -0.516129, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.048066, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.323851, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -65.174494, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.623188, "excess_performance": -0.674424, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.516129, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159366, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.323851, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.09012, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.651745, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.522918, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.623188, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1765187, "relative_activity": 1.277987, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 1.143371, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.28729, "annualized_volatility": 0.549654, "from_high_reference": -0.845238, "from_low_reference": 0.083333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.067167, "fair_value_reference": 0.048066, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.017772, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.046216, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 14.75, "worst_return": -0.374194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.109434, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.163671, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 12.5, "worst_return": -0.354839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.214286, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.121307, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 7.709677, "worst_return": -0.295522, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -75.351983, "energy": 76.217337, "activity_lines": [ 0.057533, 0.063418, 0.067414, 0.070746 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.045, "volume": 931101, "typical_volume": 1408324.35, "trend": 0.0742, "fair_value": 0.047613, "relative_strength": -52.74875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.818553, "energy": 79.918797, "activity_lines": [ 0.052667, 0.059136, 0.065017, 0.068782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0375, "volume": 3136008, "typical_volume": 1422296.1, "trend": 0.072242, "fair_value": 0.047735, "relative_strength": -60.464628, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.889426, "energy": 84.05428, "activity_lines": [ 0.0468, 0.054127, 0.062089, 0.066414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0375, "volume": 610822, "typical_volume": 1414951.95, "trend": 0.0707, "fair_value": 0.047861, "relative_strength": -60.469651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.718078, "energy": 89.451, "activity_lines": [ 0.042433, 0.049982, 0.059352, 0.064173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0365, "volume": 804991, "typical_volume": 1411244.15, "trend": 0.069167, "fair_value": 0.047977, "relative_strength": -61.463175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.601443, "energy": 89.650315, "activity_lines": [ 0.039167, 0.046382, 0.056705, 0.061966 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0325, "volume": 1765187, "typical_volume": 1381224.0, "trend": 0.067167, "fair_value": 0.048066, "relative_strength": -65.174494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.387617, "energy": 90.781071, "activity_lines": [ 0.036067, 0.042709, 0.053865, 0.059601 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }