{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe28b212-4d8a-4d46-bee5-1e54e3b8d19b", "symbol": "THMUI", "name": "Thai Mui Corporation Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 82.932, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.501, "architecture_energy": 32.153, "architecture_maturity": 50.763, "architecture_confidence": 60.019, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.56, "rotation_up": 21.61, "upward_expansion": 13.71, "deceleration": 46.91, "rotation_down": 57.27, "downward_expansion": 57.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.305273, 0.310267, 0.311475 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.3, "trend_reference": 0.310733, "distance_from_trend": -0.034542, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.461423, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.349837, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.330639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.034483, "excess_performance": -0.157842, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034542, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019689, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.349837, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018669, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193306, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067683, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034483, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.817721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 233500, "relative_activity": 0.27121, "balance": 0.817721, "dry_up": 1.528473, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094028, "annualized_volatility": 0.338901, "from_high_reference": -0.302326, "from_low_reference": 0.304348 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.310733, "fair_value_reference": 0.461423, "structural_low": 0.272774, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.031754, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.014857, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.198347, "worst_return": -0.171429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.083333, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.055504, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.259615, "worst_return": -0.241379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.112698, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.079757, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.211538, "worst_return": -0.362069, 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0.016949, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.12963, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.092308, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.155172, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.27451, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", 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"gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.301499, "energy": 13.369595, "activity_lines": [ 0.308, 0.3124, 0.31439, 0.313553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.3, "volume": 2523900, "typical_volume": 856842.55, "trend": 0.310733, "fair_value": 0.466615, "relative_strength": -22.08846, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.073595, "energy": 20.796346, "activity_lines": [ 0.304, 0.31, 0.312952, 0.312839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3, "volume": 162200, "typical_volume": 860197.55, "trend": 0.3104, "fair_value": 0.463923, "relative_strength": -20.484875, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.322211, "energy": 30.174832, "activity_lines": [ 0.302, 0.307636, 0.31161, 0.312146 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3, "volume": 233500, "typical_volume": 860957.55, "trend": 0.310733, "fair_value": 0.461423, "relative_strength": -19.330639, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.501267, "energy": 32.152867, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.305273, 0.310267, 0.311475 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }