{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe2e565b-3387-4c0f-9990-d61272496cf6", "symbol": "4200", "name": "Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 59.663, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -26.003, "architecture_energy": 14.597, "architecture_maturity": 49.655, "architecture_confidence": 57.611, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.28, "rotation_up": 27.46, "upward_expansion": 19.73, "deceleration": 42.32, "rotation_down": 30.64, "downward_expansion": 58.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.313333, 115.805454, 116.63381, 117.924637 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 119.699997, "trend_reference": 118.956141, "distance_from_trend": 0.006253, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 119.400232, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002511, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.133421, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.018708, "excess_performance": 0.050538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006253, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038035, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002511, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 5.7e-05, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011334, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018708, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.214837, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2782345, "relative_activity": 2.031408, "balance": 1.214837, "dry_up": 1.496308, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040229, "annualized_volatility": 0.191627, "from_high_reference": -0.209361, "from_low_reference": 0.136752 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118.956141, "fair_value_reference": 119.400232, 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"trend": 119.805264, "fair_value": 118.869151, "relative_strength": -6.623297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.844, "energy": 63.204761, "activity_lines": [ 113.773334, 114.832728, 117.293334, 118.383521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 116.599998, "volume": 2716984, "typical_volume": 1254089.9, "trend": 119.500118, "fair_value": 119.035752, "relative_strength": -3.303621, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.829638, "energy": 46.167178, "activity_lines": [ 114.34, 115.089091, 117.027619, 118.17673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.900002, "volume": 1688537, "typical_volume": 1270255.65, "trend": 119.007311, "fair_value": 119.197031, "relative_strength": -2.822421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.982846, "energy": 37.902721, "activity_lines": [ 114.473334, 115.010909, 116.592381, 117.879948 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 119.699997, "volume": 2782345, "typical_volume": 1369663.3, "trend": 118.956141, "fair_value": 119.400232, "relative_strength": -1.133421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.003345, "energy": 14.597115, "activity_lines": [ 116.313333, 115.805454, 116.63381, 117.924637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }