{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe327179-0d58-4f4b-9f98-62b6a0a1e1ce", "symbol": "SMTI", "name": "Sanara Medtech Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "stage_age_weeks": 11, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_score": 72.779, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 96.0, "composite_score": 81.928, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.446, "architecture_energy": 86.746, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.171, "architecture_age_weeks": 3, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.446, "energy": 86.746, "maturity": 26.0, "confidence": 79.171, "confirmation": 99.746, "age_weeks": 3, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.34, "rotation_up": 84.91, "upward_expansion": 96.49, "deceleration": 39.2, "rotation_down": 9.56, "downward_expansion": 18.49 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 27.934667, "10": 25.854545, "20": 23.657429, "30": 22.456129 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.385142, "10": 0.96036, "20": 0.727896, "30": 0.458904 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.645393, "fan_width_change_4": 0.832605, "fan_width_percentile": 0.942308, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.152631, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.579351, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 1.779581, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is building a base around a flattening 30-week trend.", "body": "The job of Stage 1 is repair: declining pressure must fade, relative strength must improve, and resistance must be absorbed before an advance is confirmed.", "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 73/100." }, "latest_close": 33.86, "sma_30": 21.527, "distance_from_sma_30": 0.572908, "sma_30_slope": 0.010855, "fair_value": 29.999936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128669, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 0.499235, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": 27.985238, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 58.413651, "range_position_52": 0.894993, "returns": { "13": 0.716168, "26": 0.539091, "52": 0.40149 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 0.45377, "52": 0.186655 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 41.18, "2": 100.0, "3": 58.19, "4": 0.0 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 0.572908, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": true, "value": 0.010855, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.128669, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 0.499235, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.279852, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 0.584137, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.539091, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.864965, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4310454, "ratio_20": 8.84966, "up_down_ratio_13": 5.864965, "dry_up_ratio": 2.749884, "accumulation_weeks": 1, "distribution_weeks": 0 }, "base": { "high_26": 26.01, "low_26": 16.0465, "depth": 0.383064, "compression": 0.761672, "breakout_distance": 0.301807 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.098335, "annualized_volatility": 0.666444, "drawdown_from_52_high": -0.058136, "advance_from_52_low": 1.110117 }, "levels": { "breakout_reference": 26.01, "trend_reference": 21.527, 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"architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.265326, "architecture_energy": 67.252623, "activity_5": 24.854667, "activity_10": 23.958727, "activity_20": 22.442667, "activity_30": 21.637312 }, { "week": "2026-07-31", "open": 25.77, "high": 34.25, "low": 25.45, "close": 33.86, "volume": 4310454, "sma_30": 21.527, "fair_value_history": 29.999936, "mansfield_rs": 27.985238, "stage": 1, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.445508, "architecture_energy": 86.746294, "activity_5": 27.934667, "activity_10": 25.854545, "activity_20": 23.657429, "activity_30": 22.456129 } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV", "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier", "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor", "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. These are exit boundaries, not entry signals.", "confidence": "separation between the leading and runner-up stage evidence scores; not forecast probability" }, "historical_outcomes": [ { "weeks": 4, "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.031515, "stage_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.135332, "worst_return": -0.172396, "sufficient": true }, { "weeks": 13, "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.05896, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.126326, "stage_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.085251, "worst_return": -0.426215, "sufficient": true }, { "weeks": 26, "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.150379, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.282915, "stage_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.808751, "worst_return": -0.467504, "sufficient": true }, { "weeks": 52, 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