{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe36f456-e10d-40d6-8c3c-03854902f5ad", "symbol": "603566", "name": "Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.198, "architecture_energy": 34.886, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.612, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.4, "rotation_up": 27.43, "upward_expansion": 22.16, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 31.87, "downward_expansion": 58.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.282, 10.237648, 10.469002, 11.036455 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.24, "trend_reference": 11.807438, "distance_from_trend": -0.13275, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.214819, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.279625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.740732, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.262248, "excess_performance": -0.219044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.13275, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082028, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.279625, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018197, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187407, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056738, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.262248, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360339, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20181466, "relative_activity": 1.432244, "balance": 0.360339, "dry_up": 1.253944, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059418, "annualized_volatility": 0.241332, "from_high_reference": -0.34223, "from_low_reference": 0.06114 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.807438, "fair_value_reference": 14.214819, "structural_low": 9.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.004301, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.017814, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.337209, "worst_return": -0.118591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.03171, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.040168, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.501861, "worst_return": -0.238523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.125325, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.161608, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.491552, "worst_return": -0.28159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 62.178267, "activity_lines": [ 10.145536, 10.19382, 10.845395, 11.471493 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.7, "volume": 21576402, "typical_volume": 14788007.75, "trend": 12.055771, "fair_value": 14.42568, "relative_strength": -13.405842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.129008, "energy": 47.241526, "activity_lines": [ 10.349333, 10.256195, 10.761476, 11.37925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.95, "volume": 16516626, "typical_volume": 14347611.8, "trend": 11.957104, "fair_value": 14.355622, "relative_strength": -19.844607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.219648, "energy": 44.101718, "activity_lines": [ 10.261333, 10.192147, 10.622985, 11.243394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.39, "volume": 12401800, "typical_volume": 14005477.9, "trend": 11.880438, "fair_value": 14.286911, "relative_strength": -15.999015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.798214, "energy": 38.600386, "activity_lines": [ 10.316, 10.225555, 10.544922, 11.14229 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.24, "volume": 20181466, "typical_volume": 14090797.7, "trend": 11.807438, "fair_value": 14.214819, "relative_strength": -18.740732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.197994, "energy": 34.885996, "activity_lines": [ 10.282, 10.237648, 10.469002, 11.036455 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }