{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fe5d4a12-cf63-4e82-9c8e-bbe18058e110",
    "symbol": "STNG",
    "name": "Scorpio Tankers Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.246,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 27.366,
    "architecture_energy": 14.754,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.412,
    "architecture_confidence": 52.317,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.37,
        "rotation_up": 36.81,
        "upward_expansion": 63.5,
        "deceleration": 61.79,
        "rotation_down": 23.45,
        "downward_expansion": 11.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        77.507333,
        77.090545,
        77.524018,
        76.603352
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 76.08,
    "trend_reference": 74.197936,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.025365,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.452549,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301569,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.290441,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125057,
    "excess_performance": -0.000568,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025365,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108221,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.301569,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.208577,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032904,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.285325,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125057,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.61434,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4516346,
      "relative_activity": 0.966963,
      "balance": 0.61434,
      "dry_up": 0.749073,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.078739,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.400817,
      "from_high_reference": -0.124162,
      "from_low_reference": 0.786187
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.197936,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.452549,
      "structural_low": 65.683308,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.003416,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016975,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.267278,
        "worst_return": -0.263807,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.184751,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117282,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.327151,
        "worst_return": -0.268382,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.070863,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084647,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.538625,
        "worst_return": -0.394544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.219018,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033226,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.665505,
        "worst_return": -0.157187,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.099813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.208847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001753,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.439918,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.144405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.251546,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044239,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.077905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.169144,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 5293266.7,
        "trend": 71.553982,
        "fair_value": 57.818506,
        "relative_strength": 10.195055,
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        "energy": 12.633624,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 79.49,
        "volume": 1961421,
        "typical_volume": 5009280.6,
        "trend": 72.508868,
        "fair_value": 58.057124,
        "relative_strength": 14.263228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 18.47313,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 77.86,
        "volume": 4810916,
        "typical_volume": 4887274.45,
        "trend": 73.467396,
        "fair_value": 58.263344,
        "relative_strength": 10.037141,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.956549,
        "energy": 20.275001,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.892,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.08,
        "volume": 4516346,
        "typical_volume": 4670652.55,
        "trend": 74.197936,
        "fair_value": 58.452549,
        "relative_strength": 3.290441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.365909,
        "energy": 14.753902,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}