{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe5d7f69-94dc-40ac-9126-87114e07a319", "symbol": "EAT", "name": "Brinker International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.865, "architecture_energy": 95.078, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.07, "rotation_up": 88.17, "upward_expansion": 99.87, "deceleration": 39.04, "rotation_down": 8.46, "downward_expansion": 21.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 207.046667, 193.387455, 174.341952, 166.148473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 225.2, "trend_reference": 159.119333, "distance_from_trend": 0.41529, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 110.477179, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.03843, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.592398, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.333097, "excess_performance": 0.207472, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.41529, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.03843, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.642018, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.335924, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.5137, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.333097, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.744407, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5287503, "relative_activity": 1.004874, "balance": 2.744407, "dry_up": 1.000637, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07297, "annualized_volatility": 0.465475, "from_high_reference": -0.020827, "from_low_reference": 1.245264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 159.119333, "fair_value_reference": 110.477179, "structural_low": 124.96, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.026247, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": 0.044106, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.300177, "worst_return": -0.16165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.159296, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.100841, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.683645, "worst_return": -0.148072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.294955, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.232233, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.994348, "worst_return": -0.17098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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189.35, "volume": 4647019, "typical_volume": 5355478.55, "trend": 153.628, "fair_value": 107.201218, "relative_strength": 17.811364, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.771214, "energy": 82.960698, "activity_lines": [ 181.915333, 170.358182, 159.060286, 155.798022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 186.98, "volume": 5799843, "typical_volume": 5343275.75, "trend": 154.873667, "fair_value": 108.152564, "relative_strength": 16.925018, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.494155, "energy": 80.999124, "activity_lines": [ 184.997333, 175.164364, 162.36881, 157.949763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 213.7, "volume": 5326457, "typical_volume": 5284708.9, "trend": 156.946333, "fair_value": 109.274295, "relative_strength": 31.804058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.544303, "energy": 93.123108, "activity_lines": [ 195.513333, 183.924, 167.973667, 161.745011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 225.2, "volume": 5287503, "typical_volume": 5261855.9, "trend": 159.119333, "fair_value": 110.477179, "relative_strength": 33.592398, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.86506, "energy": 95.077987, "activity_lines": [ 207.046667, 193.387455, 174.341952, 166.148473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }