{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe6f031e-ecaa-47a9-b983-4a96846217a9", "symbol": "688123", "name": "Giantec Semiconductor Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 70.287, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.114, "architecture_energy": 22.953, "architecture_maturity": 40.857, "architecture_confidence": 71.694, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.46, "rotation_up": 17.56, "upward_expansion": 25.33, "deceleration": 73.28, "rotation_down": 63.05, "downward_expansion": 35.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 129.659333, 146.125091, 144.54664, 141.209692 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 128.720001, "trend_reference": 140.787842, "distance_from_trend": -0.085716, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.780992, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.518265, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.129515, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.304806, "excess_performance": -0.261603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.085716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034098, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.518265, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021295, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078078, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.304806, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.958835, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51083178, "relative_activity": 1.003693, "balance": 0.958835, "dry_up": 1.240588, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.262352, "annualized_volatility": 1.024776, "from_high_reference": -0.454553, "from_low_reference": 0.789192 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 140.787842, "fair_value_reference": 84.780992, "structural_low": 100.666665, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.049727, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.075838, "regime_survival": 0.357143, "best_return": 0.678956, "worst_return": -0.18249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.091444, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.141723, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.123259, "worst_return": -0.282526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.167601, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.131609, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.835315, "worst_return": 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7.132536, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.115256, "energy": 62.551116, "activity_lines": [ 173.755335, 162.719456, 148.903765, 144.694409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 127.519997, "volume": 72245196, "typical_volume": 49075772.5, "trend": 141.207459, "fair_value": 84.026301, "relative_strength": 1.370721, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.40068, "energy": 25.807426, "activity_lines": [ 158.364666, 157.321273, 147.851227, 143.823661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.629997, "volume": 61785016, "typical_volume": 50570895.05, "trend": 140.659058, "fair_value": 84.323199, "relative_strength": -11.327823, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.142978, "energy": 15.722273, "activity_lines": [ 138.769999, 149.860909, 145.396886, 141.979953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 128.720001, "volume": 51083178, "typical_volume": 50895215.7, "trend": 140.787842, "fair_value": 84.780992, "relative_strength": -2.129515, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.113544, "energy": 22.952836, "activity_lines": [ 129.659333, 146.125091, 144.54664, 141.209692 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }