{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe7512a4-95b1-45b8-a341-8797c43d7e07", "symbol": "PIONEEREMB", "name": "Pioneer Embroideries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.368, "architecture_energy": 20.501, "architecture_maturity": 35.667, "architecture_confidence": 89.722, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.28, "rotation_up": 24.84, "upward_expansion": 15.38, "deceleration": 41.66, "rotation_down": 39.96, "downward_expansion": 65.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.659333, 23.427273, 24.174572, 24.515807 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.93, "trend_reference": 25.064, "distance_from_trend": -0.045244, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.54468, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.423994, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.535167, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.143522, "excess_performance": -0.099813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045244, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077184, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.423994, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054464, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155352, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00382, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143522, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.578104, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47924, "relative_activity": 0.47017, "balance": 1.578104, "dry_up": 1.1788, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097271, "annualized_volatility": 0.444712, "from_high_reference": -0.467038, "from_low_reference": 0.220296 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.064, "fair_value_reference": 41.54468, "structural_low": 19.610001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.003571, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": -0.01986, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.22247, "worst_return": -0.187266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.033015, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04374, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.22813, "worst_return": -0.197619, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.091667, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.181251, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.354673, "worst_return": -0.348235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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24.622715, 25.024022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.6, "volume": 29003, "typical_volume": 131443.95, "trend": 25.505667, "fair_value": 41.871026, "relative_strength": -22.005315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.890913, "energy": 63.278339, "activity_lines": [ 22.823334, 23.512, 24.407381, 24.821742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.049999, "volume": 87439, "typical_volume": 125827.0, "trend": 25.29, "fair_value": 41.769103, "relative_strength": -21.212595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.919371, "energy": 59.557412, "activity_lines": [ 22.478666, 23.120182, 24.162191, 24.598796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.26, "volume": 316250, "typical_volume": 133496.95, "trend": 25.186334, "fair_value": 41.667244, "relative_strength": -11.115816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.003067, "energy": 26.989647, "activity_lines": [ 23.379333, 23.383818, 24.234905, 24.59686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.93, "volume": 47924, "typical_volume": 101929.05, "trend": 25.064, "fair_value": 41.54468, "relative_strength": -15.535167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.367754, "energy": 20.501302, "activity_lines": [ 23.659333, 23.427273, 24.174572, 24.515807 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }