{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe76e9ec-a2f9-4e81-9135-61d5032ab726", "symbol": "WBTN", "name": "WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.255, "architecture_energy": 78.29, "architecture_maturity": 19.824, "architecture_confidence": 79.688, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.2, "rotation_up": 8.21, "upward_expansion": 16.98, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 76.93, "downward_expansion": 90.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.368667, 10.190182, 10.959476, 10.976645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.93, "trend_reference": 11.131833, "distance_from_trend": -0.197796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.247162, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.270851, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.094229, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.200537, "excess_performance": -0.387991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.197796, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079519, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.270851, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.341484, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.400942, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294175, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.200537, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.687993, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1863902, "relative_activity": 1.146894, "balance": 0.687993, "dry_up": 1.143896, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138182, "annualized_volatility": 0.55854, "from_high_reference": -0.602581, "from_low_reference": 0.075904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.131833, "fair_value_reference": 12.247162, "structural_low": 8.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.033816, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043469, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.357949, "worst_return": -0.130707, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.069331, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.16158, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.188899, "worst_return": -0.32756, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.200537, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.387991, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.200537, "worst_return": -0.200537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.216028, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020833, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 22.83, "volume": 9119253, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 19.65, "volume": 4181918, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 20.14, "volume": 1714620, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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"energy": 19.620854, "activity_lines": [ 11.204, 11.475364, 11.578167, 11.443731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.0, "volume": 1773905, "typical_volume": 1641282.5, "trend": 11.429167, "fair_value": 12.306284, "relative_strength": -36.597304, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.137377, "energy": 57.838602, "activity_lines": [ 10.419333, 10.988, 11.367952, 11.278065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.12, "volume": 1691358, "typical_volume": 1620301.55, "trend": 11.292833, "fair_value": 12.277318, "relative_strength": -35.89689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.067235, "energy": 69.971228, "activity_lines": [ 9.840667, 10.578545, 11.172548, 11.129086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.93, "volume": 1863902, "typical_volume": 1625173.95, "trend": 11.131833, "fair_value": 12.247162, "relative_strength": -40.094229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.254682, "energy": 78.290041, "activity_lines": [ 9.368667, 10.190182, 10.959476, 10.976645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }