{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "fe803865-12bd-4772-91cc-c42db5290e9d",
    "symbol": "600530",
    "name": "Shanghai Jiaoda Onlly Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -80.924,
    "architecture_energy": 74.409,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.977,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.01,
        "rotation_up": 9.24,
        "upward_expansion": 14.93,
        "deceleration": 37.71,
        "rotation_down": 80.8,
        "downward_expansion": 92.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.580667,
        4.987636,
        5.526571,
        5.642323
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.87,
    "trend_reference": 5.860333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.339628,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.670921,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.17147,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -41.633915,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.390551,
    "excess_performance": -0.347347,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.339628,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101865,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.17147,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.528909,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.416339,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.156617,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.390551,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.974991,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 106000687,
      "relative_activity": 1.645984,
      "balance": 0.974991,
      "dry_up": 0.928496,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.242497,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.615055,
      "from_high_reference": -0.57889,
      "from_low_reference": 0.032
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.860333,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.670921,
      "structural_low": 3.75,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.031962,
        "positive_rate": 0.35,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033263,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.166666,
        "worst_return": -0.275281,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020118,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.308333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.050209,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025649,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.336111,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.363171,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.045249,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.99,
        "volume": 46933196,
        "typical_volume": 61047556.75,
        "trend": 5.946,
        "fair_value": 4.657442,
        "relative_strength": -23.810479,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.03917,
        "energy": 58.021067,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.006,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.87,
        "volume": 106000687,
        "typical_volume": 64399602.8,
        "trend": 5.860333,
        "fair_value": 4.670921,
        "relative_strength": -41.633915,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.924178,
        "energy": 74.409324,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}