{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe80aedc-e9c6-4b06-8056-4dabf0252d1d", "symbol": "P2AT34", "name": "UiPath, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 85.098, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 60.121, "architecture_energy": 68.082, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.925, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.09, "rotation_up": 75.01, "upward_expansion": 63.52, "deceleration": 21.06, "rotation_down": 19.39, "downward_expansion": 24.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.225333, 7.752364, 7.331619, 7.263355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.54, "trend_reference": 7.402333, "distance_from_trend": 0.288783, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.694808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.015968, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.410834, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.141148, "excess_performance": 0.198197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.288783, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124261, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.015968, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.321577, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.084108, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.448451, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141148, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.976504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10326, "relative_activity": 0.55194, "balance": 1.976504, "dry_up": 0.588287, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086196, "annualized_volatility": 0.629102, "from_high_reference": -0.290179, "from_low_reference": 0.667832 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.402333, "fair_value_reference": 9.694808, "structural_low": 5.72, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.060991, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.034553, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.005252, "worst_return": -0.180342, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.019482, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075074, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.293403, "worst_return": -0.154851, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.083399, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.17565, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.278646, "worst_return": -0.500855, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.154054, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.113675, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.211796, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.272043, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116801, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.123077, "active": false }, { 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.985625, "energy": 20.586408, "activity_lines": [ 6.898, 6.818909, 6.855429, 7.327892 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 6.78, "volume": 55779, "typical_volume": 76921.75, "trend": 8.133, "fair_value": 9.777244, "relative_strength": -26.036303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.891461, "energy": 25.224345, "activity_lines": [ 6.836667, 6.829455, 6.832714, 7.235183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 7.42, "volume": 975, "typical_volume": 69189.8, "trend": 7.962667, "fair_value": 9.761538, "relative_strength": -18.901969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.026624, "energy": 13.643732, "activity_lines": [ 6.993333, 6.950545, 6.878476, 7.189183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.45, "volume": 3661, "typical_volume": 63529.9, "trend": 7.816667, "fair_value": 9.742179, "relative_strength": -19.59157, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.368998, "energy": 7.385139, "activity_lines": [ 7.155333, 7.059455, 6.927048, 7.156108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.71, "volume": 6913, "typical_volume": 46647.95, "trend": 7.702667, "fair_value": 9.724551, "relative_strength": -14.140515, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.4549, "energy": 17.87191, "activity_lines": [ 7.390667, 7.196182, 6.998143, 7.149226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.87, "volume": 11195, "typical_volume": 41121.85, "trend": 7.540667, "fair_value": 9.704615, "relative_strength": -22.932737, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.321676, "energy": 17.323127, "activity_lines": [ 7.277333, 7.159636, 6.98519, 7.095505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.05, "volume": 15590, "typical_volume": 18370.15, "trend": 7.447667, "fair_value": 9.693526, "relative_strength": -11.270273, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.496802, "energy": 33.668484, "activity_lines": [ 7.545333, 7.331455, 7.088286, 7.128366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.54, "volume": 10326, "typical_volume": 18708.55, "trend": 7.402333, "fair_value": 9.694808, "relative_strength": 8.410834, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 60.121064, "energy": 68.082206, "activity_lines": [ 8.225333, 7.752364, 7.331619, 7.263355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }