{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fe863c40-0d0a-4191-b4e3-a54f9d341dbc", "symbol": "MCD", "name": "McDonald's Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.979, "architecture_energy": 46.689, "architecture_maturity": 36.023, "architecture_confidence": 95.747, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.63, "rotation_up": 21.21, "upward_expansion": 6.62, "deceleration": 50.88, "rotation_down": 52.99, "downward_expansion": 77.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 236.406667, 238.489091, 240.828609, 246.858732 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 237.5, "trend_reference": 254.462615, "distance_from_trend": -0.066661, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 253.981514, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064893, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.170683, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.134519, "excess_performance": -0.308765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066661, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028996, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064893, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007059, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015598, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.134519, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.558351, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1330, "relative_activity": 1.44636, "balance": 0.558351, "dry_up": 1.119841, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03625, "annualized_volatility": 0.158888, "from_high_reference": -0.170595, "from_low_reference": 0.033511 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 254.462615, "fair_value_reference": 253.981514, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 242.100006, "volume": 2227, "typical_volume": 850.15, "trend": 258.009587, "fair_value": 254.268044, "relative_strength": -24.079249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.965593, "energy": 37.917489, "activity_lines": [ 242.26, 241.708497, 246.207458, 252.131354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 238.800003, "volume": 996, "typical_volume": 873.15, "trend": 256.986396, "fair_value": 254.203408, "relative_strength": -23.151847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.510116, "energy": 44.609429, "activity_lines": [ 240.846667, 241.380162, 244.779925, 250.892026 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 233.899994, "volume": 898, "typical_volume": 874.85, "trend": 255.972084, "fair_value": 254.096615, "relative_strength": -25.266825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.65389, "energy": 48.661763, "activity_lines": [ 238.399999, 240.118135, 243.109248, 249.40258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 234.300003, "volume": 895, "typical_volume": 887.1, "trend": 255.257574, "fair_value": 254.029405, "relative_strength": -24.518327, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.459898, "energy": 49.866762, "activity_lines": [ 236.773334, 238.958909, 241.697619, 248.004382 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 237.5, "volume": 1330, "typical_volume": 919.55, "trend": 254.462615, "fair_value": 253.981514, "relative_strength": -25.170683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.978742, "energy": 46.688797, "activity_lines": [ 236.406667, 238.489091, 240.828609, 246.858732 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }