{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fea6d02a-3fdd-4ea7-afb9-c0a519eabacf", "symbol": "CLLS", "name": "Cellectis SA", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.027, "architecture_energy": 54.159, "architecture_maturity": 32.649, "architecture_confidence": 92.69, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.72, "rotation_up": 17.39, "upward_expansion": 9.92, "deceleration": 43.16, "rotation_down": 59.92, "downward_expansion": 83.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.796333, 2.875818, 3.132048, 3.274215 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.835, "trend_reference": 3.4705, "distance_from_trend": -0.183115, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.60053, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.090162, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.661774, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.205882, "excess_performance": -0.393336, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.183115, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128088, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.090162, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.442407, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316618, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.306505, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.205882, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.882958, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121866, "relative_activity": 0.784645, "balance": 0.882958, "dry_up": 0.547443, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152981, "annualized_volatility": 0.610018, "from_high_reference": -0.482626, "from_low_reference": 0.206383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.4705, "fair_value_reference": 2.60053, "structural_low": 2.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.038806, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.04596, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.972414, "worst_return": -0.280967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.15258, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.13249, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.068966, "worst_return": -0.433938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.245989, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.33995, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.492092, "worst_return": -0.637306, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.074392, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.158222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.21393, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.151899, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.615079, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 3.066667, 3.223818, 3.427524, 3.545613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.99, "volume": 65193, "typical_volume": 195366.05, "trend": 3.713, "fair_value": 2.586139, "relative_strength": -28.592333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.568695, "energy": 47.732715, "activity_lines": [ 3.046, 3.149273, 3.376619, 3.495333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.63, "volume": 109203, "typical_volume": 191790.15, "trend": 3.655, "fair_value": 2.584665, "relative_strength": -34.578749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.129686, "energy": 57.93298, "activity_lines": [ 2.91, 3.026727, 3.295762, 3.425462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.84, "volume": 63533, "typical_volume": 181678.6, "trend": 3.591333, "fair_value": 2.589024, "relative_strength": -28.133621, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.841766, "energy": 46.035159, "activity_lines": [ 2.874667, 2.964545, 3.240857, 3.372882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.75, "volume": 45499, "typical_volume": 161819.35, "trend": 3.523, "fair_value": 2.594793, "relative_strength": -30.479228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.373285, "energy": 59.556628, "activity_lines": [ 2.818667, 2.905636, 3.18081, 3.318602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.835, "volume": 121866, "typical_volume": 155313.5, "trend": 3.4705, "fair_value": 2.60053, "relative_strength": -31.661774, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.026922, "energy": 54.15876, "activity_lines": [ 2.796333, 2.875818, 3.132048, 3.274215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }