{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fea876ac-6f7d-46b8-a241-170093a0833c", "symbol": "VTRS", "name": "Viatris Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.293, "architecture_energy": 47.781, "architecture_maturity": 35.581, "architecture_confidence": 89.93, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.3, "rotation_up": 56.7, "upward_expansion": 80.57, "deceleration": 53.83, "rotation_down": 19.72, "downward_expansion": 7.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.997333, 16.776, 16.385447, 15.847162 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.43, "trend_reference": 15.160138, "distance_from_trend": 0.083763, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.958588, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.499281, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.024348, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.144586, "excess_performance": -0.042868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083763, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133653, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.499281, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.100243, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17302, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144586, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.796504, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63072267, "relative_activity": 1.26622, "balance": 0.796504, "dry_up": 1.015166, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070888, "annualized_volatility": 0.357968, "from_high_reference": -0.10658, "from_low_reference": 0.790719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.160138, "fair_value_reference": 10.958588, "structural_low": 12.777907, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.013772, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020929, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.205148, "worst_return": -0.180189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.003499, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.036675, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.295517, "worst_return": -0.150668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.060788, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.085798, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.363882, "worst_return": -0.296024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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17.29, "volume": 42129383, "typical_volume": 50992566.1, "trend": 14.684454, "fair_value": 10.812457, "relative_strength": 23.348817, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.304926, "energy": 48.100127, "activity_lines": [ 16.644, 16.433129, 15.911365, 15.417516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.24, "volume": 46304136, "typical_volume": 50241152.75, "trend": 14.854805, "fair_value": 10.864356, "relative_strength": 23.906599, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.965656, "energy": 52.49513, "activity_lines": [ 16.926667, 16.593273, 16.102003, 15.58239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.56, "volume": 50761886, "typical_volume": 50029805.05, "trend": 15.031228, "fair_value": 10.917236, "relative_strength": 24.322736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.743162, "energy": 58.176842, "activity_lines": [ 17.191333, 16.795636, 16.307407, 15.756919 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.43, "volume": 63072267, "typical_volume": 49811472.7, "trend": 15.160138, "fair_value": 10.958588, "relative_strength": 10.024348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.293479, "energy": 47.78117, "activity_lines": [ 16.997333, 16.776, 16.385447, 15.847162 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }