{ "ticker": { "uuid": "feadbc73-a489-43f3-a0a1-9cd5ad9726b8", "symbol": "SILO", "name": "Silo Pharma Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -48.377, "architecture_energy": 67.292, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.488, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.82, "rotation_up": 16.5, "upward_expansion": 22.31, "deceleration": 43.06, "rotation_down": 74.36, "downward_expansion": 63.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.284333, 4.938909, 5.534043, 5.606876 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.735, "trend_reference": 5.581733, "distance_from_trend": -0.330853, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.674604, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.761716, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.0364, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.185742, "excess_performance": -0.373196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.330853, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04187, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.761716, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101946, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.510364, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184059, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.185742, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.129349, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 319816, "relative_activity": 0.024008, "balance": 0.129349, "dry_up": 0.023894, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.297442, "annualized_volatility": 0.761843, "from_high_reference": -0.753465, "from_low_reference": 0.126697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.581733, "fair_value_reference": 15.674604, "structural_low": 3.315, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.215394, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.204944, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.510204, "worst_return": -0.550335, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.178403, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.314174, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.061224, "worst_return": -0.418031, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.29162, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.514803, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.104082, "worst_return": -0.479159, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217712, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.550335, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.655398, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.004279, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.120393, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.399663, 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5.907206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.47, "volume": 145385, "typical_volume": 13387012.8, "trend": 5.681667, "fair_value": 16.027649, "relative_strength": -40.946191, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.617089, "energy": 44.843316, "activity_lines": [ 5.153, 5.583545, 5.913867, 5.826889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.19, "volume": 71873, "typical_volume": 13341712.8, "trend": 5.653533, "fair_value": 15.846815, "relative_strength": -43.610149, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.824871, "energy": 56.24909, "activity_lines": [ 4.732667, 5.287364, 5.744083, 5.730653 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.735, "volume": 319816, "typical_volume": 13321235.5, "trend": 5.581733, "fair_value": 15.674604, "relative_strength": -51.0364, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.377289, "energy": 67.292263, "activity_lines": [ 4.284333, 4.938909, 5.534043, 5.606876 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }