{ "ticker": { "uuid": "feb672c5-63da-4fce-8886-b02c98547273", "symbol": "NUVOCO", "name": "Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 91.714, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.088, "architecture_energy": 64.594, "architecture_maturity": 9.671, "architecture_confidence": 76.692, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.1, "rotation_up": 71.48, "upward_expansion": 89.79, "deceleration": 42.2, "rotation_down": 9.82, "downward_expansion": 14.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 346.229993, 336.104543, 328.379283, 323.608385 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 345.799988, "trend_reference": 322.91, "distance_from_trend": 0.070887, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 349.989423, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.01197, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.032955, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002028, "excess_performance": 0.045737, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031619, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.01197, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050805, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02033, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050854, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002028, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 15.119007, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1563460, "relative_activity": 0.254119, "balance": 15.119007, "dry_up": 3.749583, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073175, "annualized_volatility": 0.347281, "from_high_reference": -0.275812, "from_low_reference": 0.251765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 322.91, "fair_value_reference": 349.989423, "structural_low": 276.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.033742, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.040292, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.140462, "worst_return": -0.054513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.019143, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.037563, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.272007, "worst_return": -0.052238, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.002356, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033729, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.015158, "worst_return": -0.028371, "sufficient": false }, { 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323.363333, "fair_value": 350.119872, "relative_strength": 3.293575, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.038045, "energy": 47.68681, "activity_lines": [ 339.116667, 329.747273, 322.928094, 320.761935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 344.649994, "volume": 1581726, "typical_volume": 6128891.55, "trend": 322.966667, "fair_value": 350.016026, "relative_strength": -2.132244, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.359347, "energy": 49.151205, "activity_lines": [ 343.76333, 333.037272, 325.724046, 322.135268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 345.799988, "volume": 1563460, "typical_volume": 6152466.45, "trend": 322.91, "fair_value": 349.989423, "relative_strength": -2.032955, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.087705, "energy": 64.593834, "activity_lines": [ 346.229993, 336.104543, 328.379283, 323.608385 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }