{ "ticker": { "uuid": "febddf49-5b01-4a7e-8b89-76c1fbc9f814", "symbol": "LNZA", "name": "LanzaTech Global Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.933, "architecture_energy": 69.505, "architecture_maturity": 53.345, "architecture_confidence": 94.788, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.97, "rotation_up": 28.82, "upward_expansion": 18.03, "deceleration": 37.88, "rotation_down": 51.29, "downward_expansion": 93.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.799333, 5.912182, 8.59981, 10.600753 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.29, "trend_reference": 12.162667, "distance_from_trend": -0.482844, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 159.328199, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.960522, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -64.366346, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.403226, "excess_performance": -0.590679, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.482844, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19062, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.960522, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080738, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.643663, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.588989, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.403226, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.715534, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 395220, "relative_activity": 0.713319, "balance": 0.715534, "dry_up": 0.626001, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.438899, "annualized_volatility": 1.982021, "from_high_reference": -0.857045, "from_low_reference": 0.252988 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.162667, "fair_value_reference": 159.328199, "structural_low": 5.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.024774, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.06615, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.470428, "worst_return": -0.497226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.255605, "positive_rate": 0.090909, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": -0.350203, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.760309, "worst_return": -0.646764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.513734, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.678727, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.203608, "worst_return": -0.772419, "sufficient": true }, { 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369702, "typical_volume": 578739.55, "trend": 12.6923, "fair_value": 167.66275, "relative_strength": -69.760261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.535799, "energy": 75.599938, "activity_lines": [ 5.79, 5.979818, 9.977381, 11.458297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.52, "volume": 325716, "typical_volume": 593041.1, "trend": 12.409633, "fair_value": 163.57634, "relative_strength": -68.346257, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.726112, "energy": 73.979116, "activity_lines": [ 5.613333, 5.854364, 9.238905, 10.995568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.29, "volume": 395220, "typical_volume": 554058.25, "trend": 12.162667, "fair_value": 159.328199, "relative_strength": -64.366346, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.933141, "energy": 69.505476, "activity_lines": [ 5.799333, 5.912182, 8.59981, 10.600753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }