{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fecac190-2601-4ae7-aa76-33c60d77796f", "symbol": "W1MB34", "name": "The Williams Companies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.067, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.094, "architecture_energy": 11.661, "architecture_maturity": 17.312, "architecture_confidence": 81.504, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.45, "rotation_up": 16.93, "upward_expansion": 26.28, "deceleration": 73.87, "rotation_down": 48.31, "downward_expansion": 25.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 367.582668, 373.286278, 371.816127, 371.48879 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 361.48999, "trend_reference": 368.626368, "distance_from_trend": -0.019359, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 278.2525, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299144, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.14757, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.037979, "excess_performance": 0.095027, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019359, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048479, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299144, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075197, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001476, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102159, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.037979, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.001664, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83, "relative_activity": 0.981087, "balance": 1.001664, "dry_up": 2.565012, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0595, "annualized_volatility": 0.339076, "from_high_reference": -0.112254, "from_low_reference": 0.218312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 368.626368, "fair_value_reference": 278.2525, "structural_low": 347.520441, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.044862, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.003141, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.102074, "worst_return": -0.058764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.031392, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.066004, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.146809, "worst_return": -0.067352, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.029015, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.063681, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.064153, "worst_return": -0.097435, "sufficient": 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"active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.889542, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.054021, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.072887, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.115842, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.10597, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.118788, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.03192, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.155243, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.061222, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 158.869919, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 9.85, "trend": 141.643097, "fair_value": 126.571947, "relative_strength": 4.45263, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", 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"2026-07-03", "close": 381.559998, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 44.6, "trend": 360.845641, "fair_value": 271.184909, "relative_strength": 3.399385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.025937, "energy": 48.917448, "activity_lines": [ 382.140346, 376.565153, 372.313252, 369.200742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 383.369995, "volume": 69, "typical_volume": 46.8, "trend": 362.784538, "fair_value": 272.69245, "relative_strength": 1.947569, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.401922, "energy": 45.372933, "activity_lines": [ 383.937998, 378.548394, 373.301551, 370.653926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 371.640015, "volume": 403, "typical_volume": 65.85, "trend": 364.412353, "fair_value": 274.124799, "relative_strength": 1.473442, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.009558, "energy": 42.642754, "activity_lines": [ 380.38667, 378.048794, 373.141923, 371.225247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 382.279999, "volume": 325, "typical_volume": 80.0, "trend": 366.244615, "fair_value": 275.625353, "relative_strength": 4.351905, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.878771, "energy": 25.009283, "activity_lines": [ 381.012669, 379.195107, 374.0459, 372.377998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 358.200012, "volume": 57, "typical_volume": 80.7, "trend": 367.228117, "fair_value": 276.955668, "relative_strength": -3.96814, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.19926, "energy": 9.252185, "activity_lines": [ 372.222673, 375.652842, 372.742324, 371.858992 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 361.48999, "volume": 83, "typical_volume": 84.6, "trend": 368.626368, "fair_value": 278.2525, "relative_strength": 0.14757, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.093826, "energy": 11.661057, "activity_lines": [ 367.582668, 373.286278, 371.816127, 371.48879 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }