{ "ticker": { "uuid": "fedbe8f6-9305-4764-b3f7-bff072a5de43", "symbol": "MX", "name": "MagnaChip Semiconductor", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 49.382, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.259, "architecture_energy": 32.73, "architecture_maturity": 2.451, "architecture_confidence": 58.623, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.31, "rotation_up": 15.27, "upward_expansion": 18.98, "deceleration": 55.97, "rotation_down": 63.24, "downward_expansion": 48.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.62, 4.028909, 4.595667, 4.345032 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.98, "trend_reference": 3.957667, "distance_from_trend": 0.005643, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.621795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.138863, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.641472, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.309211, "excess_performance": 0.183586, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.201842, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.138863, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03669, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026415, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227531, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.309211, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.583459, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5524455, "relative_activity": 0.554678, "balance": 0.583459, "dry_up": 0.525873, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.367532, "annualized_volatility": 1.36199, "from_high_reference": -0.596349, "from_low_reference": 0.825688 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.957667, "fair_value_reference": 4.621795, "structural_low": 2.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"fair_value": 4.760962, "relative_strength": 4.6706, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.161058, "energy": 20.461684, "activity_lines": [ 4.574667, 5.328, 4.922095, 4.433978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.42, "volume": 5731530, "typical_volume": 9426554.95, "trend": 3.871333, "fair_value": 4.724423, "relative_strength": -8.741353, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.497458, "energy": 20.725626, "activity_lines": [ 4.050667, 4.948364, 4.833762, 4.406366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.5, "volume": 3658714, "typical_volume": 9511015.8, "trend": 3.9, "fair_value": 4.688397, "relative_strength": -5.393998, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.544413, "energy": 27.774971, "activity_lines": [ 3.742, 4.603455, 4.749857, 4.382409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.26, "volume": 6035548, "typical_volume": 9743389.15, "trend": 3.919333, "fair_value": 4.649872, "relative_strength": -12.685926, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.205269, "energy": 33.914458, "activity_lines": [ 3.514667, 4.230182, 4.639524, 4.341118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.98, "volume": 5524455, "typical_volume": 9959746.0, "trend": 3.957667, "fair_value": 4.621795, "relative_strength": 2.641472, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.258741, "energy": 32.730209, "activity_lines": [ 3.62, 4.028909, 4.595667, 4.345032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }