{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "feef1b9c-e723-4a3d-9409-cadeec21618b",
    "symbol": "MDB",
    "name": "MongoDB",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 81.583,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.229,
    "architecture_energy": 38.654,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.257,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.78,
        "rotation_up": 51.35,
        "upward_expansion": 78.04,
        "deceleration": 54.94,
        "rotation_down": 23.45,
        "downward_expansion": 7.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        347.021333,
        340.270909,
        327.437476,
        316.780667
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 398.8,
    "trend_reference": 316.67,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.259355,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 306.532756,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301003,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.266844,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.158124,
    "excess_performance": -0.02933,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259355,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048667,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.301003,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334129,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062668,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158124,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.883571,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8749742,
      "relative_activity": 0.987725,
      "balance": 1.883571,
      "dry_up": 0.808186,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.115554,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.636116,
      "from_high_reference": -0.103256,
      "from_low_reference": 1.009372
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 316.67,
      "fair_value_reference": 306.532756,
      "structural_low": 215.68,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.010451,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029764,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.279144,
        "worst_return": -0.324684,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.117867,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.17245,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.605112,
        "worst_return": -0.592591,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.308529,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.308203,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.137171,
        "worst_return": -0.586843,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.373784,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.412891,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.239249,
        "worst_return": -0.46437,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.284712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.033732,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.428293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.227721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.271618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.28844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.168487,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 312.33,
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        "typical_volume": 9989901.05,
        "trend": 323.640667,
        "fair_value": 307.397564,
        "relative_strength": -12.537542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.454041,
        "energy": 11.178208,
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          330.358667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 298.22,
        "volume": 5401963,
        "typical_volume": 8867206.0,
        "trend": 319.053,
        "fair_value": 306.670641,
        "relative_strength": -15.15978,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.902536,
        "energy": 3.954506,
        "activity_lines": [
          319.362,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 337.48,
        "volume": 6366064,
        "typical_volume": 8764004.85,
        "trend": 316.980667,
        "fair_value": 306.259808,
        "relative_strength": -4.836468,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.469201,
        "energy": 9.033856,
        "activity_lines": [
          323.754,
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          318.098286,
          311.502
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 398.8,
        "volume": 8749742,
        "typical_volume": 8858478.7,
        "trend": 316.67,
        "fair_value": 306.532756,
        "relative_strength": 6.266844,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.229101,
        "energy": 38.654003,
        "activity_lines": [
          347.021333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}