{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff0927d1-e4c8-40dd-9a4a-4d2bc0569f3e", "symbol": "1570", "name": "De Poan Pneumatic Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 65.356, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.74, "architecture_energy": 29.602, "architecture_maturity": 39.605, "architecture_confidence": 58.856, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.49, "rotation_up": 14.57, "upward_expansion": 16.71, "deceleration": 59.82, "rotation_down": 59.79, "downward_expansion": 41.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.743334, 36.808399, 38.644474, 37.482775 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.150002, "trend_reference": 35.550132, "distance_from_trend": -0.039385, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.736556, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277278, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.183435, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124275, "excess_performance": -0.317097, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039385, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080902, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.277278, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271136, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176408, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124275, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.916384, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202002, "relative_activity": 0.115008, "balance": 0.916384, "dry_up": 0.192029, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158008, "annualized_volatility": 0.510267, "from_high_reference": -0.381251, "from_low_reference": 0.704194 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.550132, "fair_value_reference": 26.736556, "structural_low": 29.302487, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.007901, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.003507, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.201493, "worst_return": -0.157568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.151836, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.08751, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.582114, "worst_return": -0.064133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.17477, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.003005, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.035087, "worst_return": -0.190687, "sufficient": true }, 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"energy": 19.697389, "activity_lines": [ 40.093847, 41.438642, 39.733994, 37.576957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.799999, "volume": 419111, "typical_volume": 1811634.75, "trend": 35.218813, "fair_value": 26.443925, "relative_strength": -11.677258, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.618458, "energy": 17.990902, "activity_lines": [ 39.246666, 40.661903, 39.780578, 37.75788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.549999, "volume": 576003, "typical_volume": 1818274.45, "trend": 35.30189, "fair_value": 26.541622, "relative_strength": -20.389335, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.863195, "energy": 13.963974, "activity_lines": [ 37.186666, 39.123708, 39.385188, 37.650215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.950001, "volume": 152014, "typical_volume": 1778317.5, "trend": 35.393424, "fair_value": 26.640166, "relative_strength": -21.180721, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.000871, "energy": 19.089224, "activity_lines": [ 35.623333, 37.794654, 39.012077, 37.562996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 34.150002, "volume": 202002, "typical_volume": 1756412.3, "trend": 35.550132, "fair_value": 26.736556, "relative_strength": -23.183435, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.74016, "energy": 29.601915, "activity_lines": [ 34.743334, 36.808399, 38.644474, 37.482775 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }