{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff151e4f-e58d-46b6-aafa-fdd044c1a63f", "symbol": "3541", "name": "Cypress Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.003, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.178, "architecture_energy": 50.341, "architecture_maturity": 63.178, "architecture_confidence": 88.468, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 7.29, "deceleration": 58.31, "rotation_down": 57.97, "downward_expansion": 80.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.36, 21.543636, 21.982381, 22.517097 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.1, "trend_reference": 23.348333, "distance_from_trend": -0.053466, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.713782, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.256237, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.000396, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.159696, "excess_performance": -0.601068, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053466, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034262, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.256237, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0365, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.360004, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055162, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159696, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.445686, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 199450, "relative_activity": 0.77848, "balance": 1.445686, "dry_up": 0.603741, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039158, "annualized_volatility": 0.17024, "from_high_reference": -0.27541, "from_low_reference": 0.078049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.348333, "fair_value_reference": 29.713782, "structural_low": 20.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.017036, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.029027, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.188324, "worst_return": -0.168659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.027503, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.107909, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.102837, "worst_return": -0.202186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.088926, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.296764, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.025, "worst_return": -0.188525, "sufficient": true }, { 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30.388461, "relative_strength": -37.796912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.270377, "energy": 57.930744, "activity_lines": [ 21.923333, 22.040909, 22.562857, 23.125806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.65, "volume": 94015, "typical_volume": 268223.8, "trend": 23.706667, "fair_value": 30.183654, "relative_strength": -38.151092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.189885, "energy": 52.550546, "activity_lines": [ 21.83, 21.939091, 22.432381, 22.987204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.6, "volume": 185233, "typical_volume": 259919.75, "trend": 23.593333, "fair_value": 30.005769, "relative_strength": -39.146892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.540573, "energy": 64.697069, "activity_lines": [ 21.406667, 21.667273, 22.214048, 22.786774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.799999, "volume": 140026, "typical_volume": 255904.55, "trend": 23.486667, "fair_value": 29.855449, "relative_strength": -38.834749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.758294, "energy": 73.120456, "activity_lines": [ 21.116666, 21.473636, 22.028571, 22.606559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 22.1, "volume": 199450, "typical_volume": 256204.35, "trend": 23.348333, "fair_value": 29.713782, "relative_strength": -36.000396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.178073, "energy": 50.340837, "activity_lines": [ 21.36, 21.543636, 21.982381, 22.517097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }