{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff18938f-31d0-42b3-9524-e6c67cdea23d", "symbol": "605090", "name": "Jiangxi Jovo Energy Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.973, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.731, "architecture_energy": 49.077, "architecture_maturity": 26.298, "architecture_confidence": 89.545, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.93, "rotation_up": 17.87, "upward_expansion": 9.02, "deceleration": 43.93, "rotation_down": 51.58, "downward_expansion": 77.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.221999, 35.066201, 36.898542, 38.399522 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 34.419998, "trend_reference": 40.67248, "distance_from_trend": -0.153728, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.350913, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172706, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.989282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.238327, "excess_performance": -0.195123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153728, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004479, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.172706, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.361412, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.079893, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207743, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.238327, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.192183, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64261484, "relative_activity": 0.64711, "balance": 1.192183, "dry_up": 1.575182, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117215, "annualized_volatility": 0.463396, "from_high_reference": -0.377914, "from_low_reference": 0.264702 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.67248, "fair_value_reference": 29.350913, "structural_low": 30.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.008937, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.001442, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.101828, "worst_return": -0.05508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.041111, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.047088, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.046709, "worst_return": -0.025304, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.009979, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.002418, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.291509, "worst_return": -0.052593, "sufficient": 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170261530, "typical_volume": 100448788.4, "trend": 41.291147, "fair_value": 29.195431, "relative_strength": -8.258075, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.796285, "energy": 38.252986, "activity_lines": [ 35.968667, 36.14683, 37.976966, 39.428746 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.879999, "volume": 105568933, "typical_volume": 100109785.45, "trend": 40.961813, "fair_value": 29.263768, "relative_strength": -12.211664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.773953, "energy": 45.15704, "activity_lines": [ 34.566667, 35.313618, 37.290564, 38.821575 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.419998, "volume": 64261484, "typical_volume": 99305373.25, "trend": 40.67248, "fair_value": 29.350913, "relative_strength": -7.989282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.730629, "energy": 49.076613, "activity_lines": [ 34.221999, 35.066201, 36.898542, 38.399522 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }