{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ff19fe33-82af-45ab-88c7-d3898f763c52", "symbol": "600232", "name": "Zhejiang Golden Eagle Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.679, "architecture_energy": 72.141, "architecture_maturity": 28.848, "architecture_confidence": 90.918, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.84, "rotation_up": 15.66, "upward_expansion": 15.52, "deceleration": 43.71, "rotation_down": 68.46, "downward_expansion": 88.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.801333, 6.034364, 6.771048, 7.211613 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.11, "trend_reference": 7.74, "distance_from_trend": -0.210594, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.942323, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.028217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.094689, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.27863, "excess_performance": -0.235427, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.210594, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.028217, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.481222, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170947, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.269437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.27863, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.442383, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25796364, "relative_activity": 0.778401, "balance": 0.442383, "dry_up": 1.028657, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100844, "annualized_volatility": 0.401915, "from_high_reference": -0.366839, "from_low_reference": 0.205128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.74, "fair_value_reference": 5.942323, "structural_low": 5.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.033493, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.059574, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.143567, "worst_return": -0.110429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.057578, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.086977, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.103811, "worst_return": -0.052632, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.03418, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.063538, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.058093, "worst_return": 0.010268, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"activity_lines": [ 6.414, 6.884364, 7.496857, 7.774516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.58, "volume": 35010042, "typical_volume": 35773631.9, "trend": 7.940333, "fair_value": 5.932582, "relative_strength": -21.452914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.954346, "energy": 93.005022, "activity_lines": [ 6.079333, 6.562182, 7.281286, 7.619118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.4, "volume": 42947784, "typical_volume": 35803925.05, "trend": 7.866, "fair_value": 5.933862, "relative_strength": -24.693949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.748817, "energy": 92.765137, "activity_lines": [ 5.786667, 6.265091, 7.062952, 7.455226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.78, "volume": 32605300, "typical_volume": 35254315.05, "trend": 7.8, "fair_value": 5.937095, "relative_strength": -19.55249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.830085, "energy": 86.074417, "activity_lines": [ 5.711333, 6.098909, 6.894143, 7.320645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.11, "volume": 25796364, "typical_volume": 33140184.1, "trend": 7.74, "fair_value": 5.942323, "relative_strength": -17.094689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.679423, "energy": 72.141236, "activity_lines": [ 5.801333, 6.034364, 6.771048, 7.211613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }