{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ff28aa87-0393-4b1d-8bc4-92659a886e9e",
    "symbol": "AYV",
    "name": "AYVENS",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.054,
    "architecture_energy": 30.96,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.852,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.801,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.4,
        "rotation_up": 34.14,
        "upward_expansion": 63.98,
        "deceleration": 87.28,
        "rotation_down": 26.49,
        "downward_expansion": 16.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.613333,
        11.647091,
        11.419523,
        11.092061
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.55,
    "trend_reference": 10.821938,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.067276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.51195,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.53755,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.25127,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.059541,
    "excess_performance": 0.006229,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040407,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.53755,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072192,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042513,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059541,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.268135,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2920926,
      "relative_activity": 1.013524,
      "balance": 3.268135,
      "dry_up": 1.035182,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045112,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.294581,
      "from_high_reference": -0.064019,
      "from_low_reference": 0.391615
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.821938,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.51195,
      "structural_low": 8.897866,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.022833,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01025,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.163987,
        "worst_return": -0.126381,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.058451,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.063026,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.116605,
        "worst_return": -0.072482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.004969,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007926,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.185634,
        "worst_return": -0.144534,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.041232,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034776,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.69772,
        "worst_return": -0.334162,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-01-13",
        "end": "2023-03-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.095406,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-05-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.066148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2023-07-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.065177,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.359608,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.101527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
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        "return": -0.201592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.350746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.773519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.132273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.171339,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
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        "return": 0.047016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
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        "return": 0.038359,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2859587,
        "typical_volume": 5097645.75,
        "trend": 10.731292,
        "fair_value": 7.410265,
        "relative_strength": 13.854704,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 69.886965,
        "energy": 68.203933,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.57,
        "volume": 2032773,
        "typical_volume": 3421747.9,
        "trend": 10.766853,
        "fair_value": 7.433212,
        "relative_strength": 10.31056,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.506902,
        "energy": 50.513924,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.708,
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          11.200219,
          10.93519
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.62,
        "volume": 3254218,
        "typical_volume": 3256168.25,
        "trend": 10.795873,
        "fair_value": 7.456872,
        "relative_strength": 9.888109,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.100104,
        "energy": 47.005444,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.680667,
          11.65,
          11.285827,
          10.990232
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.64,
        "volume": 3725460,
        "typical_volume": 3217024.15,
        "trend": 10.815772,
        "fair_value": 7.48386,
        "relative_strength": 7.887939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.339588,
        "energy": 40.852754,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.668,
          11.662,
          11.363151,
          11.044691
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.55,
        "volume": 2920926,
        "typical_volume": 2881950.95,
        "trend": 10.821938,
        "fair_value": 7.51195,
        "relative_strength": 4.25127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.054412,
        "energy": 30.960352,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.613333,
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          11.092061
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}